Posted on 02/04/2008 6:27:02 AM PST by jdm
According to Reuters, the night might belong to Barack Obama tomorrow after polls in several states now show him pulling ahead of Hillary Clinton. All Democratic contests award delegates on a proportional basis, making a decisive victory very unlikely, but a strong showing could shift momentum so significantly that Hillary may not be able to recover:
Democratic presidential contender Barack Obama opened narrow leads on Hillary Clinton in California and Missouri one day before crucial "Super Tuesday" nominating contests in 24 states, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Monday. ...
Obama and Clinton were deadlocked in New Jersey, and Obama enjoyed a double-digit advantage over Clinton in Georgia in two other Democratic contests on the biggest single day of voting ever in a U.S. presidential nominating campaign.
Obama, an Illinois senator, and Clinton, a New York senator, have waged a bitter duel for the Democratic presidential nomination, competing for votes from coast to coast after splitting the first four significant contests.
"The momentum is with Obama," said pollster John Zogby. "If this trend continues it could be a very big night for him."
Again, this is Zogby, not the most reliable of pollsters. The numbers look interesting and optimistic, but not necessarily compelling. Hillary does well enough in most of these states where she could be in a dead heat rather than behind, and as we saw in New Hampshire, the polls can get it wrong.
If Zogby has this right, though, Obama could jump out to a significant delegate lead by Wednesday. That puts Hillary in catch-up mode, and that means she'll have to go back into attack mode -- which is what got her in trouble over the last few months. CapQ readers won't forget that her lashing out at Obama in November revealed a strange streak in Hillary and her team, which criticized Obama on the basis of grade-school essays. Until then, Obama hadn't even seriously challenged Hillary in any state.
If she takes a hit in tomorrow's primaries, Hillary will need the superdelegates more than ever to help her win the nomination. If she slides badly, though, she may find the superdelegates more interested in supporting the candidate with momentum. They exist to avoid brokered conventions by coalescing behind the most electable and strongest candidate in the race. Hillary had assumed that described her, an assumption the superdelegates themselves may be questioning by now.
This country is headed to the sewer real fast.
If it is Obama vs. McCain, the GOP is toast.
Record liberal turnout will vote for Democrats in down ballot races.
Moderates who might come out to vote for McCain will then vote for Democrats in down ballot races.
Conservatives won’t come out because they’ll see no point in supporting McCain if Hillary isn’t on the ballot.
This will result in a total GOP wipeout across the country in House, Senate and gubernatorial races.
All of those idiots who have endorsed McCain have endorsed their own defeat.
I still say drive a stake through her heart, plant her, and liberally salt the burial plot.
Because, if she gets the nomination....IMHO, all bets are off.
Let the House of Clinton fall.
They deserve it and its long overdue.
Oh, and I forgot to mention, all those “independents” that McCain supposedly appeals to, are going to go for Obama.
If it is either Dim vs either Rep, the GOP is toast. Romney is the only one with higher negatives than Hillary.
You really think Romney or Huckabee would really help GOP turnout. None of them are gonna light a fire under conservatives to show up. But I am still hoping for Hillary, as she gives us the best shot, which ever sorry candidate we put out.
Upset is in the air. I think it will be Romney vs. Obama. And yes I knew the Giants would win last night.
McCain vs. Obama is my greatest dread. Folks are blind if they think that defeating Hillary in primaries will do any good. Hussein Obama will doom America beyond repair.
Pray for Romney vs. Hillary.
the only way to defeat the Clintons once and for all is for Hillary to get the nomination, and then lose the general election.
If that happens, then the recriminations begin, Obama becomes the leader of the Democrat party, and the Clintons lose all clout and power within the party.
“I think it will be Romney vs. Obama. “
Definitely gree on Obama....fingers crossed it IS Romney and NOT McShamnesty.
Other polls show her ahead by 4 to 6 points, however, the fact that her husband is now heading to CA may tell a story. I hear McCain is also heading to CA so perhaps their internal numbers show problems. Fingers crossed!
“And yes I knew the Giants would win last night.”
So did I , and I’m a Cowboy’s Fan.........And I can point to my prediction on the SB FR Predictions thread............
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1962091/posts
See #6
You’re not comprehending.
We’re talking about congressional races.
Let’s just assume the GOP loses the White House.
The question now becomes “how do we best stem the losses in Congress?”
The way to do that is to buttress against the massive liberal turnout with an equally strong conservative turn out.
McCain will not do that. He will turn out even MORE liberals, and less conservatives than Romney.
We need the highest CONSERVATIVE turnout in November to keep the GOP aflot in Congress.
McCain as the nominee means the Democrats getting a filibuster-proof super majority in the Senate, and a liberal majority in the House. It means Republican governors falling across the country.
So don’t talk to me about which candidate will have a batter chance of winning.
I don’t care.
It’s only one race.
I’m much more concerned about the complete rout the GOP will get in the legislature if McCain is at the top of the ticket.
Oh I for got to say I agreed with you during my vanity boast......
“Is Obama Heading For A Super Tuesday Triumph?”
I’m concerned Obama is being set up for a crushing defeat. The fix is in for Hellary.
The defeat of Hellary is the Prime Directive. End the KKKlinton Kult and cause liberals PAIN.
Oy vey.
...Heaven help the republic.
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