Posted on 2/6/2008, 5:18:29 PM by DesScorp
Who Won Super Tuesday? It’s hard to say, but if you put a gun in my head, I’d say John McCain and (very slightly) Hillary Clinton, but the elections revealed weaknesses in McCain and in both of the leading Democratic candidates. McCain blunted Mitt Romney’s challenge, but he failed consistently to win over conservative voters. Hillary Clinton won the big states she had to win, and arrested Barack Obama’s momentum, but she is going to have problems with white male voters. Obama is having trouble with white working-class voters and Latinos. Here is a rundown.
McCain beat Romney in California--that’s the end of Romney. But McCain continues to depend on moderate, non-evangelical Republicans for his victories. In California, conservatives made up 62 percent of the primary electorate; McCain only won 30 percent of them. In Tennessee, 73 percent of the voters were conservatives; McCain won 22 percent. In Missouri, 65 percent were conservatives; McCain won 25 percent. In these states, McCain failed to win a majority of Republicans. And he might face a revolt of these conservatives in the fall. They won’t vote for a Democrat, but they might not vote at all.
One group that is clearly dissatisfied with McCain are Republican evangelicals. In Tennessee, which Huckabee won, 73 percent of the primary voters described themselves as born-again Christians. McCain won 29 percent of these voters. In Missouri, 54 percent of voters described themselves this way; McCain won 24 percent. The other group that doesn’t like McCain is Republicans who think illegal immigration is the most important issue. In California, 30 percent of the Republicans thought it was; 23 percent voted for Republicans; in Tennessee 25 percent thought it was the most important. Only 21 percent went for McCain.
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Actually it was a huge day for Obama. Obama showed he can do much better in the non-Democrat states than Hillary. Hillary only performs well in Democratic strongholds.
Neither one of them would win much of any of those states in November. Unless the primary trend continues, meaning huge turnout for Democrats and a lukewarm showing by Republicans.
Who would have thunk it?
All of the states that a Democrat requires in order to win in November have been won by Hillary. That's signifiant.
It takes a majority of seated delegates to decide to recognize the Michigan and Florida delegates.
All Hillary needs is 51% of the delegates going into the convention.
bookmark
lol…ya. “The elections” revealed his weaknesses……
lol
“This election may well be defined more by the candidates negatives than their positives.”
That’s the problem. There is an acute lack of real leadership in ALL of the candidates. It’s a sorry state of affiars that I must determine not who I will vote for, because I can’t vote for any of them, but who I will vote against.
That’s kind of how Hitler came to power. Nobody liked the guy he replaced. Anyone remember him?
bkmk...
I see this as showing the Obama is stronger in the contested states. Obama can mail in NY and California, they ain't going GOP. It is the Midwest and southern states where the Dems need to pick up an extra state or two to get a victory.
Who Won Super Tuesday?
Chicoms and EUrosocialists
Which should tell us all we need to know about Clinton Inc. going into the election. The DNC stated that the delegates would not be seated because of the moveup date of their primaries. This fact was known BEFORE the primaries were held. The candidates, rightly, spent their dollars elsewhere. The DNC should not permit those delegates to be seated, period. It is further evidence that the Clintons do not believe the rules should apply to them.
One wonders if Hitlery would be so adamant about seating delegates had she lost either of those states.
The liberals won on both sides.
bookmark
Assuming he's the nominee, McCain has the best chance to win California of any Republican since George H.W. Bush. I ain't necessarily predicting that it will happen, but the state would be in play. This of course would be the death knell for the Democratic nominee, as the Dems can't get to the WH without California.
But to get to the general election he has to beat the Clinton machine now. He can't.
That’s why I’ve been thinking for a while that 08’s winner will be 12’s loser. Most of the libs I know are just as unsatisfied with their candidates as we are with ours, unless the winner does some major image changing in office they won’t have the base in 4 years. We might even see an incumbent opposed in the primaries, the level of universal dissatisfaction is pretty high.
I believe that the DNC will agree to seat the delegates before the convention ^because^ Hillary will have 51%.
The DNC is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Clinton, Inc.
McCain loses as he alienates the conservative base that just will not vote for open borders, higher taxes, liberal Kennedy-approved judges, more 1A rights infringements............
The good thing: only Democrats can take the blame when shi'ite goes badly......then the GOP gets to take back the Congress in 2010.
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