Posted on 2/11/2008, 9:24:56 PM by Signalman
I believe that Barack Obama will defeat Hillary and win the Democratic nomination. I think that this weekend’s victories in states as diverse as Washington State, Louisiana, Nebraska, and Maine illustrates his national appeal and demonstrates Hillary’s inability to win in states without large immigrant and Latino populations.
Hillary’s results on Super Tuesday, which amounted to a draw with Obama, will be her high water mark and will represent the closest she will ever come to the party nomination.
Right now, CBS has Obama ahead in elected delegates with 1134, while Hillary has only 1131.By the time Virginia, Maryland, DC, Wisconsin, and Hawaii vote during the next week, Obama will have a lead over Clinton of about 100 delegates, even counting the super delegates who have thus far committed themselves.
March 4th will, at worst, be a wash for Obama with his probably wins in Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont offsetting his probable defeat in Texas. (Although in Texas’ open primary, Republicans and Independents may flock to the Dem primary to beat Hillary).
And then come a list of states almost all of which should go for Obama, including likely victories in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Indiana. By the convention, he will have more than enough delegates to overcome the expected margins Hillary may rack up among super delegates.
And don’t bet on all the super delegates staying hitched to Hillary. These folks are politicians, half of them public office holders who are really good at reading the handwriting on the wall and really bad at gratitude for past favors.
Since 2004, I have predicted that Hillary Clinton would be the nominee. But, given the consistently amazing performance of Obama, his superior organizational and fund-raising skills, his inspiration of young people, and the flat and completely uninspiring performance by Hillary, it looks to me like it will be Obama as the Democratic nominee.
Considering that Morris is usually wrong, I guess that means Hillary will pull it out.
Hasn’t Morris been saying for years that Hillary is destined to be the nominee and the Giuliani was the only Republican that could beat her?
When the toe-sucker speaks, ... who cares?
Oh, yesterday.
I want this guy’s job.
Give your opinion, be wrong, revise, repeat. Collect big $.
What a country! (Yakov Smirnoff)
I think Dick Morris makes Rush Limbaugh look like a genius for admitting that he has no way of knowing what will happen in the future.
Morris can often be wrong but in this case he’s not.
yes. he and condi rice.
OR we can get Bama....a person that attended radical Islamic schools in Indonesia, who put his hand on a KORAN instead of the bible to be sworn in as a senator...
think McCain is bad?....one thing we do know...he is a veteran and a patriot...his whole family has served in the military it seems....he is strong on defense and our place in this world...
he is not my cup of tea...I wanted FRed.....but Hitlery and Bama are EVIL and once they are in power, there will be no second chances...
JMHO.....
Hanity should be ashamed for pimping this load. Morris has zero credibility.
That wasn't Obama.
For once Dick Morris might be right.
TV weathermen and political pundits. I’d love to get paid to be wrong so frequently!
I love the sound of that!
But the Clintons have Mich. and Fl. as their 'aces in the hole' and are not going to concede without a fight, even if it means destroying the Democratic Party.
Correct. It's that Muslim scumbag Keith Ellison.
“...who put his hand on a KORAN instead of the bible to be sworn in as a senator...”
Absolutely false.
Obama WILL pull it out and win the nomination. Only thing is I didn’t need Dick Morris to tell me that.
The Dickster forgets that the Clintons are gangsters and soon this war will cause them to go to ‘da mattresses’.
So John Edwards 26 delegates will be very important in the race.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/
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