Posted on 02/20/2008 9:16:54 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
Sometime in the early hours of Feb. 6, as the meaning of the Super Tuesday results became clear, Hillary Rodham Clinton morphed from front-runner into underdog. And her prospects — in the eyes of the delegate counters, pundits and electronic futures markets — have gone downhill from that moment.
But some Democratic insiders, despite the favorable light the current campaign narrative shines on Barack Obama, do not rule out that a Democratic race that has held nothing but surprises thus far might provide one more. With the primary calendar stretching out for months, the media focusing more intensely than ever on Obama and the Democratic Party’s rules under assault, some Democratic strategists say Clinton retains a path to victory — but little margin for error.
Strategists almost universally said Clinton’s only hope is to bring Obama down through more — and more direct — attacks on his readiness to lead. And if that works, Clinton’s road map to victory is simply to start winning. An unexpected victory in Wisconsin on Tuesday would restore her campaign’s momentum. And win or lose there, Clinton, as her campaign has acknowledged, must win Ohio and Texas on March 4.
Then, as the race stretches through the long spring of March, April, May and June, she needs to win the big state of Pennsylvania and — just as important — to win the argument about why she’s winning, the strategists said.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
Tick tock, tick tock, pop goes the weasel :-).
“An unexpected victory in Wisconsin on Tuesday would restore her campaign’s momentum. “
Well, scratch that thought.
She is over.
Brutal MSNBC Moment: Chris Matthews Crucifies Flustered Obama Backer
*******************************EXCERPT******************
"I'll give you one more shot: List Barack Obama's accomplishments as a US senator - now."
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
*** The Delegate math: After last night’s contests, here’s where things stand: The NBC News Hard Count is Obama 1,168, Clinton 1,018. There are 53 delegates unallocated, including 19 in MD, 10 each in CO and GA, 6 in WI, 4 in HI, and one each in DC, TN, NY and IL. We estimate a conservative 27-26 split here. The Superdelegate Count: Clinton 257 versus Obama 185. That’s a grand total of: Obama 1,355, Clinton 1,276. Counting only the superdelegates he has now, plus his pledged delegates, Obama needs 65% of remaining PLEDGED delegates to hit the magic 2025 number. Reaching that is probably unrealistic, but when you add in the unaffiliated 353 superdelegates (76 of whom are not yet known yet and won’t be appointed until April, May and June), his magic percentage number is down to 48%. On the flip side, Clinton needs to win 58% of all remaining pledged delegates simply to get the pledged delegate lead back. Forget 2025. And if you assume Obama wins Vermont, Wyoming, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oregon, Montana, and South Dakota, then the magic percentage number in the states Clinton wins rises to 65% — SIMPLY TO GET THE PLEDGED DELEGATE LEAD BACK...
Yeah, how'd that work out for you, Hillary? What? Seventeen points? Ah, I was wondering what that red glow was emanating from your backside.
1. Arkancide Barack Obama
2. See above.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
I suggest the following for Hillary’s campaign :
1. Bring out her mother again, telling us how caring Hillary is. Revive the whole “The Hillary I Know” campaign, with real people who say Hillary helped them somehow.
2. Send out somebody like former Senator Bob Kerrey to congratulate Senator “Barack Hussein Obama” and say that it’s nice that his full name is “Barack Hussein Obama”.
3. Send out somebody else to say that Republicans will tear Obama apart over his youthful drug use. Not that any good Democrats care about that, of course, just that we need to be afraid of what Republicans will say about it. Heck the Republicans might even think Obama sold drugs to somebody.
4. Send out Bill Clinton to have a temper tantrum and turn purple over some alleged outrage. That will get the talking heads talking up the Hillary candidacy rather than all these “another nail in the coffin” stories that have piled up with each new primary loss for Hillary.
5. While Bill is turning purple, let him remind all of us that Jesse Jackson ran in the primaries in 1984 and 1988 and won a number of states.
6. Make sure to make excuses for any individual state primary or caucus loss. Make sure to say that certain states aren’t as important as others, or the caucus process is flawed, or there are too many African-American voters in some states, or too many yuppie latte drinkers, or that Obama makes good speeches but that’s all he does. All of these will make people want Hillary even more!
If the Clintons try some of these, I’m sure they can turn around the trends before Texas and Ohio vote.
The RFK solution has probably crossed her mind.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
but, even if Hillary bows out in 2008, might she come back and run in 2012 if McCain wins in November, or gear up for the next non-incumbent election in 2016? I just wonder if she has damaged herself beyond repair or if the Clintons have any residual support for another try in the future.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
So suck it up and start praying for a vicious fight in Denver over the Democrat nomination.
The most dangerous job in the world, being a Secret Service Agent assigned to guard osamaobama.
You forgot crying - that seems to be good for a few upticks.
Dims don't care about qualifications, leadership, judgement under pressure, and so on.
They want "feeeeeeeeeeellllllll gggggooooodddddddd" about casting a ballot. And that's all.
The thought of voting for Hillary !!!!! is increasingly feeling painful to the Dim base, so Obama is getting the votes by default.
And Hillary!!! is not getting more likeable as the primary season goes along. Like all of humanity everywhere, the more they see of her, the more they reject her. Unless she somehow becomes exceedingly pleasing to the eyes and ears in the next couple of weeks, she just can't get enough delegates from primary voters.
So she'll cheat to get it done. It's what Clinton's do.
Well, the way the delegates get allocated, even if Obama continues on a roll, he will still be far short of clinching the nomination through the primary season. If the Clintons see a glimmer of a chance by getting super-delegates, they will try it and drag this thing out because they will have nothing to lose.
The Clintons are not going away. As long as their is room for socialism and Marxism in the American political process, there will be room for the Clintons.
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