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Scholar: MAD doctrine does not apply to Iran (Bernard Lewis)
World Tribune ^ | Feb. 25, 2008

Posted on 02/28/2008 8:07:59 PM PST by nuconvert

Scholar: MAD doctrine does not apply to Iran

Feb. 25, 2008

JERUSALEM — Iran could welcome a nuclear war with Israel or the United States. A leading U.S. scholar on the Middle East has asserted that Iran's leadership does not resemble the Soviet Union during the Cold War. Bernard Lewis, a professor at Princeton University, said the mullah regime in Teheran believes that the Shi'ite messiah would be ushered by a nuclear war, Middle East Newsline reported.

"It's not an Arab country, but rather a Muslim country, ruled now by a Muslim theocracy, which calculates its policies not by Iranian national interests, but by what is good for Islam," Lewis said

"Iran's leadership comprises a group of extreme fanatical Muslims who believe that their messianic times have arrived," Lewis said. "This is quite dangerous. Though Russia and the U.S. both had nuclear weapons, it was clear that they would never use them because of MAD — mutual assured destruction. Each side knew it would be destroyed if it would attack the other." "But with these people in Iran, mutually assured destruction is not a deterrent factor, but rather an inducement," Lewis said. "They feel that they can hasten the final messianic process. This is an extremely dangerous situation of which it is important to be aware."

In an address to the Jerusalem Conference on Feb. 20, Lewis, a longtime consultant to the U.S. and other Western governments, said Iran was working to assemble a nuclear weapon. He said Teheran regards a nuclear weapon as in the interest of Islam.

"It is actively pursuing nuclear power. Even a non-nuclear Iran is dangerous for Israel, and it must be carefully watched."

Lewis also warned of an erosion of Israeli democracy even while it continues to serve as a model for Arab states. He said Israeli parliamentarians are not held accountable for their policies.

"There is no direct election here, and therefore the representatives are not held accountable to anyone other than their party leaders and directorates," Lewis said. "In addition, minor splinter groups are granted more importance than they deserve proportionally, and the entire system encourages corruption."


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 12thimam; ahmadinejad; bernardlewis; iran; madhi; mahdi; mehdi; nucleariran; nukes; twelfthimam
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1 posted on 02/28/2008 8:08:05 PM PST by nuconvert
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To: AdmSmith; freedom44; Valin; odds; sionnsar; LibreOuMort; Pan_Yans Wife; Army Air Corps; GOPJ

pong


2 posted on 02/28/2008 8:09:58 PM PST by nuconvert (There are bad people in the pistachio business.)
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To: nuconvert

I’ve read three of his books. The guy knows what he is talking about.


3 posted on 02/28/2008 8:10:07 PM PST by rlmorel (Liberals: If the Truth would help them, they would use it.)
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To: rlmorel; All

Also see . ...
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1978017/posts


4 posted on 02/28/2008 8:11:24 PM PST by nuconvert (There are bad people in the pistachio business.)
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To: nuconvert
Exactly. These people are not playing diplomatic rules. They are religious fanatics.

Every time that guy opens his mouth we should take him seriously and respond accordingly.

5 posted on 02/28/2008 8:12:44 PM PST by purpleraine
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To: nuconvert
Did someone say "MAD"?

PhotobucketAlfred E. Obama

6 posted on 02/28/2008 8:13:00 PM PST by GVnana ("They're still analyzing the first guy. What do I have to worry about?" - GWB)
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To: nuconvert
Nope, with Iran the term is:

UAS (Unilateral Assured Destruction)

7 posted on 02/28/2008 8:14:01 PM PST by Hunble
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To: nuconvert
Of course it doesn't apply. The assured destruction will certain not be mutual.
8 posted on 02/28/2008 8:15:19 PM PST by Tribune7 (How is inflicting pain and death on an innocent, helpless human being for profit, moral?)
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To: nuconvert

B-b-b-but Obama will talk to them an pursue vigorous diplomacy and bridge the gap with change and hope and weed.


9 posted on 02/28/2008 8:15:45 PM PST by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: nuconvert

A good post, and let us NEVER lose sight of the fact that the reason that Iran is no longer a U.S. ally, no longer a force for peace and stability in the Middle East, no longer a relatively friendly neighbor of Israel, is because Jimmy STP Carter stabbed the Shah of Iran in the back, called the Ayatollah Khomeini a ‘godly man’ and helped to send Iran from the 20th all the way back to the 9th century, and the blood of hundreds of thousands of people are on his hands.


10 posted on 02/28/2008 8:15:57 PM PST by mkjessup (Attention! I'm with Old Sarge! -- "CTHULHU '08 - we won't settle for a lesser evil any longer!")
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To: nuconvert

That’s why the satellite shootdown wasn’t just for the Chinese.


11 posted on 02/28/2008 8:18:11 PM PST by neodad (USS Vincennes (CG 49) "Checkmate Cruiser")
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To: mkjessup
Jimmy "Jihad" Carter
12 posted on 02/28/2008 8:21:26 PM PST by redstateconfidential (If you are the smartest person in the room,you are hanging out with the wrong people.)
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To: purpleraine

Well some nice 5000 pound Daisey Cutters would make a nice present for the Iranian thug.


13 posted on 02/28/2008 8:21:38 PM PST by phillyfanatic ( tH)
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To: nuconvert

bump for later


14 posted on 02/28/2008 8:22:43 PM PST by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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To: phillyfanatic

Can we dig up Andy Jackson for this election?


15 posted on 02/28/2008 8:23:38 PM PST by purpleraine
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To: nuconvert
Iran could welcome a nuclear war with Israel or the United States

Let's see....we have many thousands of nukes on various delivery systems, Israel has a few hundred nukes (which can also be deployed on various platforms), and Iran has .....ZERO (as of right now). Plus the ABM systems of both the U.S. and Israel are the most advanced in the world. Even if the Iranians manage to build a few I doubt they'd be welcoming a nuke war, considering the above facts.

But Lewis is right -- it could happen. MAD only works when the national leaders involved are sane, and the Mullahs and their little puppet are anything but.

Unfortunately the pig's already out of the pen in the Muslim world -- Pakistan has 'em. (We never should've allowed that state of affairs). But allowing proliferation beyond the Pakis would be courting disaster in a big way. Gotta stop Iran right now.

16 posted on 02/28/2008 8:25:00 PM PST by Mr. Mojo
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To: purpleraine
Can we dig up Andy Jackson for this election?

And dig up Patton, MacArthur, Lemay, and Blackjack Pershing while we're at it.

17 posted on 02/28/2008 8:27:26 PM PST by Mr. Mojo
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To: Mr. Mojo
And Winston Churchill.
18 posted on 02/28/2008 8:29:03 PM PST by Mr. Mojo
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To: nuconvert

Lewis clearly explains why we cannot reason with these people. (Are you listening, Obama?)


19 posted on 02/28/2008 8:29:10 PM PST by Rocky
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To: rlmorel

I have read only two of his books - and his expertise is evident.

It was a very disappointing experience - not that the books were poor by any means - but that it left one with the feeling that there is no possibility of reform in the Islamic world and that it’s just a matter of time before the train wreck happens.

It also brought to me the realization that borders and geopolitics are part of the western world - and have no meaning to a Muslim. Their alliance is with their God and that’s it. They are just incidentally residents/citizens of this subdivision or that. Lewis has pointed out that Bin Laden and other Muslim fanatics have no appetite for politics or even administration - their goal is to achieve an Islamic world, not manage it.


20 posted on 02/28/2008 8:29:13 PM PST by Wally_Kalbacken (Seldom right but never in doubt)
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