Sorry, I don’t see us holding this seat, nor Sununu’s, nor Coleman’s, nor the VA seat. We might pick up LA, but if we emerge from this election with anything better than a 58 or 59 Dem senate, we will be incredibly lucky. Given that Snow/Collins/Voinovich will vote with the Dems on everything, there’s your dominant majority.
If we don’t hold the NM seat, nor NH, not MN, nor VA, and pick up only LA, it would be a 54-46 RAT Senate (counting Lieberman and Sanders as Dems). For the RATs to get to 58 they’d also need to pick up CO, OR, ME and AK, which is highly unlikely to say the least. Personally, I don’t think the RATs will be able to pick up more than 2 net seats for a 53-47 RAT Senate.
If we’re down only 50-42 or 50-43 in NM right now, that is good news. Whichever way the RAT presidential nomination goes, it will serve to depress turnout among some Democrat groups (such as among Hispanics if Obama wins narrowly, or among Taos and Santa Fe hippies if Hillary wins narrowly), and Udall’s sheen will start to fade as November gets closer.
“Sorry, I don’t see us holding this seat, nor Sununu’s, nor Coleman’s, nor the VA seat. “
Sununu will win and so will Coleman imho.
We have a good shot in LA and a good chance in SD.