Ed, I’m not allowed to share emails.
But would you admit that it is your formally and publicly stated theory that a child almost certainly wrote the anthrax letters and that you estimate the child’s age as First Grader?
That no handwriting expert agrees with you?
What probability do you attribute to your characterization that a child “almost certainly” wrote the anthrax letters?
Then I’ll compare it to the probability Ken’s assessment of the probability that Jdey is the mailer and see who is more certain. (He is very confident).
To clarify Ken’s theory, he theorizes that Jdey mailed the anthrax letters after making the martyrdom video.
To clarify your theory, did he write the letters before or after recess?
Yes. That is what my analysis indicates.
That no handwriting expert agrees with you?
No, I would NOT agree with that. As far as I know, no "handwriting expert" has ever publicly addressed the question of whether or not a child could have written the letters. Plus, a first grade school teacher could be considered to be a "handwriting expert" for how first graders write, and it was a first grade school teacher who first described the handwriting as using the techniques that first graders are taught.
Plus, it doesn't make any difference if someone disagrees with me. That doesn't automatically make me wrong, even though you may think so.
What probability do you attribute to your characterization that a child “almost certainly” wrote the anthrax letters?
It varies with how closely I'm working on that particular subject. I'd say it's between 90 and 95 percent certainty that a child wrote the letters. And the fact that you believe otherwise doesn't change that.
Then I’ll compare it to the probability Ken’s assessment of the probability that Jdey is the mailer and see who is more certain. (He is very confident).
Clearly you do not understand that comparing degrees of confidence to come to some kind of a conclusion about who is right is stupid beyond belief. At one time, nearly everyone in the world was 100% confident that the earth was flat. That didn't make it flat. And it didn't make them right.
To clarify Ken’s theory, he theorizes that Jdey mailed the anthrax letters after making the martyrdom video.
And I should care .... why?
To clarify your theory, did he write the letters before or after recess?
Sarcasm just shows you don't have a real argument. The same with the way you endlessly distort what I've said.
The FACTS show that the first letter was written some time before the envelopes for the first mailing were addressed. The FACTS show that the letter writer was taught how to properly draw the letter R between the writing of the first letter and the addressing of the envelopes.
But you can dream up some alternative explanation, and I it's unlikely that I can prove beyond any doubt that you are wrong. So, you are free to believe whatever you want to believe. I only say it is "most likely" that a child wrote the letters. That automatically says I cannot prove it beyond any doubt.