I just realized he based his analysis on polling before SnObama-gate.
Makes this article pretty much irrelevant.
I disagree about article being irrelevant.
The fact that those trends where Democrat base (uneducated working class people) was Leaning McCain when compared to Obama and Leaning Hillary when Compared to McCain, it is clear that Obama is bound to lose that CRITICAL segment of the Dem Vote. Thus he can not carry Industrial midwest.
The fact that analysis is based on Poll BEFORE Snobama-Gate, only means that margin in favor of McCain would be wider.