“The really funny and twisted part is that McCain won’t garner the support he’s expecting from hispanics, especially in Florida. “
There is another factor at play with the Hispanic vote that might help McCain, and that is the fact that some portion just will not vote for a black candidate. Some believe this is a large percentage and some downplay it. I don’t know, but I’d guess it’s fairly significant, maybe 33% to 67%, giving a wide spread.
Of course, there are some whites and others who will not vote for a black candidate. But this will be a factor. It’s just hard to estimate how significant a factor it will be.
But I completely agree that, in general, the Hispanic vote (especially recent arrivals) will go heavily to the Democrats in most races, 67% and more.
I’m not very informed with the percentages, but as an observer on the ground, I must say that Hispanics are as racists as the next ethnic group, if not more. In many cases I don’t even see the majority of Hispanics voting for a woman.
(This is slightly related, but not really)
I am married to a Russian and I was talking to a cousin of her’s. He works for the United Russia political party as a spin Dr. in his region and I asked him who he would like me to vote for. He said: “Not Hillary, women have no place in politics; not Mccain, he will spend too much money on Iraq; Obama...maybe.”
There’s a joke I like to recite sometimes about the a lowly 3rd world country president.
The President of Nicaragua (any 3rd world country can be named) goes into his office in the morning and asks the secretary what appointments he has that morning. The secretary says: “we have a slight problem, the President and the Pope were booked at the same time, who would you like to meet first?” The president thinks for a second and he says: “let the Pope in first, at least I only have to kiss his ring.”
Call me crazy but I think Obama will give that treatment instead of receiving it.