“In a year that points to increasing Dem majorities in both chambers, we would be so fortunate to limit our losses or at most gain a little here and there.”
Politics is nothing if it not shifting sands. Four to xix months ago, the signs were ominous for the Republicans points that way based upon MSM polls, which are not tremendously reliable. But a nationalized election built around an issue of economic populism as powerful as gas prices can completely change the dynamic. Without an issue nearly as powerful as this in 1994, the Republicans were able to nationalize the election based upon the contract the America. Almost every pundit was predicting Democratic retention of the House and Senate in 1994. Only Bob Novak predicted the dimensions of the GOP landslide in 1994 (a 52 seat gain).
Here, you have an issue which is far more powerful than 1994 when the GOP basically had Clinton’s ineptitude in this first two years to fuel their surge. Oil prices touch everyone and everyone wants to see them lower. If people make the connection between drilling and lower prices, the opponents of drilling better look out for that freight train.
Newt Gingrich (who was the architect of the Contract with America in 1994), who I do not always agree with, understands this and he has been the architect of the “Drill here, Drill Now, Pay Less” campaign.
I’m not saying the election can’t be influenced for the better.
I’m saying, in my opinion, even a McCain landslide (not predicting one) would not equal a transfer of massive proportions in the House and Senate to Republican Rule.
That’s my view.
You’re welcome to yours that such a massive transfer from Dem to Repub is achievable this election year.