If you look inside the latest polls it blows your mind.
Rasmussen has McCain getting the support of 88 percent of Republicans and with leaners factored in McCain has 91 percent Republican support. Obama has the support of just 74 percent of Democrats and 77 percent of Democrats if you factor leaners in.
Rasmussen says that McCain has a 9 point lead among independents but if you factor in independent leaners McCain has a 23 point lead among Independents. Yet Rasmussen says his poll is a virtual draw.
How could that be true? Well for that to be true 74 percent of Democrats has to be a larger number of voters than 88 percent of Republicans plus 9 percent of independents. Can you imagine that?
The only way this can be true is if Rasmussen is polling 39 percent Democrats 27 percent Republicans and 34 percent independents.
We know that in 2000 and 2004 elections 35 percent of voters were Democrats, and 35 percent were Republicans while 30 percent were independents. If you use the actual figures from 2004 or 2000 then McCain has to have a 12 point lead.
And what are those 23 percent of Democrats who are not for or leaning towards Obama going to do. Sit on their hands?
White working class democrats are about 25 percent of the Democratic party. The ones I talk to are not for Obama. It is not unusual for a significant number of democrats to say at this point that they are not for the democratic candidate. That has happened many times before but they end up voting for the Democrat.
But what blows my mind this time is they say they are going to vote for McCain. And in my experience I have never heard so many Democrats saying they are voting for a Republican. That does not bode well for Obama.
It is not because they like McCain. It is because they are scared to death of Obama.
The Democrat controlled congress has a less than 14 percent approval rating. Can you imagine what the media would be saying if the Republicans were in the majority in congress? The media would be predicting huge losses every hour on the hour. But since it is a Democrat congress they never mention the consequences of the congressional approval rating. But that does not mean it will not cost Democrats on election day.
I can’t help but think that this is a good year to be a Republican.
One final point. Every poll I see says Iraq is no longer a big issue. Every poll says the economy is the big issue. And when you look inside the polls it is the price of gasoline that is the big economic problem that makes the Economy the big issue.
Why then is Obama in the middle east and Europe. Why not at home attacking McCain and Bush for the price of Gasoline? The problem is 65 percent of voters say they want to drill for more oil. And Obama and the democrats are on the wrong side of that issue.
They can’t tell the voters “You think we are wrong on your biggest issue. But vote for me anyway!!!” Obama had best talk about Iraq,the Brandenburg Gate, and getting a French Kiss!!
I think the polls are really being manipulated to favor Obama. I can’t understand why. It is what the people paying for the polls want is my guess.
Exactly right. I'm a J-School graduate (hanging head in shame) and the first thing we were taught is Marshall McLuhan's premise that "the media is the message."
I know I don't have to tell you that CT. I appreciate your commentary on FR as a longtime freeper.
I look forward to the day when the MSM no longer dominates the majority of Americans' news consumption. I know it is becoming a reality much sooner than I ever anticipated.
However, my sad group of sisters-in-law continue to watch Oprah and consider her a news source. It will take a lot longer to debunk that claptrap or even get them involved in the workings of the real world.
This poll is encouraging given that there is still time for the Obamassiah to screw up even more. :)
It is true that in 2004 there was roughly a 35% Rep, 35% Dem and 30% Ind split in the final election-day Exit polls. A high-water mark for the Republicans nationally. However the Republicans no longer have parity, they are around 7-9% behind the Democrats in party self-identification. Do not apply the 2004 breakdown to 2008, otherwise you are just blowing smoke up yours and others...
dvwjr