[Sooth2222]

FWIW, Gallup "likely voter" polling (not "registered voter") from 2004.

Obama has trouble breaking 50, Kerry didn't.

[comebacknewt]

Obama has trouble breaking 50, Kerry didn't.

Very good point. Plus, GWB was an incumbant consistently polling below 50%. He was in much worse shape (poll wise) then than what McCain is in now.

This is going to be a very close election. The Gallup numbers aren't good, but McCain is still in good position to be able to pull this one out.

[LdSentinal]

Excellent chart.

Gallup showed Kerry leading Bush in the summer of 2004.

[mouse1]

Does anyone know someone who is actually voting for Obama?
I’ve asked my 20 something kids and their friends.
None are happy about higher taxes and all agree we need to drill here and drill now.
I’m hoping it’s a bradley effect and November will be a landslide for McCain.

[Red Steel]

FWIW, Gallup "likely voter" polling (not "registered voter") from 2004.

Obama has trouble breaking 50, Kerry didn't.

In 2004 Gallup used "likely voters" and now in 2008 Gallup uses "registered voters" for their daily polling. If so, why?

To give Obama an artificial boost in polling to include skewing the numbers to have Dems and independents polled more than Republicans?