Posted on 09/06/2008 10:17:15 AM PDT by Petronski
“This is good news but until McCain takes a sustainable lead however small, I am going to feel ill at ease.”
The thing about those small leads though is that they are susceptable being erased via cheating. Call me cynical or a doom and gloomer but I have every confidence that the Dems are pulling out all the stops in the voter fruad handbook this year. I expect M&P to be ahead(lets say 4% or better on average)in all polls going in only to lose a “squeaker”.
I just don’t think the Dems can stand (psychologically and otherwise)to lose this year, so it’s NOT gonna happen.
In short, close polls keep all the money rollin' in. A day or two before the election, they start to get more real. This year is so interesting, I expect the lead to go back and forth without any degree of accuracy just for the $$ of it.
Well, only for people who think McCain is going to march to some magic 55-45 lead.
He isn't, and neither is Obama. This is an electoral college campaign,....
I disagree in part. I think it will be relatively close (but McCain's election to lose, as I now believe it is) until the last week, with the late deciders and swing voters breaking for McCain. The electoral college map won't matter once McCain is ahead more than two or three points nationally. Next week's Gallup polls may be the most important ones to date. If McCain is ahead by a few points by this time next week, Cindy McCain can start measuring the White House drapes as far as I'm concerned.
That was beautiful and I am forwarding it to everyone.
I appreciate that. The man’s message deserves the widest play.
It could possibly give him NH and perhaps NM. Those are the likeliest states to go his way other than the necessary ones.
I’m seeing other polls that have McCain UP.
Cook's political report says that traditionally, 2/3s of the voters break against the incumbent. So for McCain to get even half when Obama is working to portray him as Bush 3, will be very, very difficult. Other surveys over time (including congressional races) found that as many as 86% of "undecideds" break for the challenger.
BUT the number of undecideds, obviously, declines sharply as one gets to the final election. Typically, it's down to 2-3% by election day. So we are talking, in Michigan, about 90,000-120,000 voters, meaning they ALL could break for McCain and if the 2004 statistics still held, Obama would still take MI and PA, and McCain wouldn't have a hope in hell of taking some of the other EV states such as CT, NJ, WI, DE, and so on.
“Sorry, I couldn’t find your name on the ballot”
Great response!
That's how the Obama has won every other office he's occupied.
“If it comes down to the wire, my fear is that the RATs will cry racism and litigate a victory.”
Within 3 minutes of the polls closing in Ohio on Super Tuesday, the Obama campaign sued for voters being disenfranchised. They were ready to go, and they did it.
There’s growing talk around here that the Presidency will not be confirmed the day after the election because of litigation.
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