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Poll finds GOP got bump up (34% bump in Alaska after Palin's selection)
Anchorage Daily News ^

Posted on 09/07/2008 4:26:10 AM PDT by Chet 99

Poll finds GOP got bump up

LOCAL SURVEY: Palin on ticket put McCain ahead for Alaskans.

By GEORGE BRYSON gbryson@adn.com

Published: September 7th, 2008 01:58 AM Last Modified: September 7th, 2008 02:29 AM

A new poll has determined that Alaskans are much more likely to support Republican John McCain for president now that Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is his running mate.

While that's not surprising, the magnitude of the shift is, said Jean Craciun, president of Craciun Research Group, the Anchorage-based polling firm that conducted the voter survey between Aug. 30 and Sept. 4.

The six-day sample -- which began a day after McCain announced Palin as his running mate -- found that 51 percent of Alaska registered voters now support McCain, 36 percent support Obama and 12 percent of voters are undecided.

The poll surveyed 404 registered voters and has a margin of error of 4.9 percent.

Over the course of the poll, however, opinions shifted dramatically, Craciun said.

During the first two days, from Aug. 30-31, voters in Alaska still favored Obama by 7 points (49 percent to 42 percent) -- a margin consistent with other surveys the week before that found Obama holding a 5-point lead.

That two-day snapshot from the survey was based on responses from 131 voters and had a margin of error of 8.6 percent, Craciun said.

During the last four days of the poll -- as the Republican National Convention unfolded and Palin energized a huge audience with her speech -- voter opinions in Alaska shifted by 34 points altogether, according to the survey.

(Excerpt) Read more at adn.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Alaska
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; 2008rncconvention; bump; mccain; mccainpalin; palin

1 posted on 09/07/2008 4:26:10 AM PDT by Chet 99
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To: Chet 99

So, had McCain picked somebody else, Alaska might go to Obama?


2 posted on 09/07/2008 4:30:00 AM PDT by paudio (Nobody cried 'racism' when Swann, Blackwell, and Steele lost to white guys in 2006)
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To: Chet 99

When was Alaska ever a problem state for McCain? Every projection site I see has it solidly for McCain. This seems like much ado about nothing.


3 posted on 09/07/2008 4:30:44 AM PDT by DiogenesLaertius (Lets Act like True Conservatives Here)
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To: Chet 99

How could she have an 80+% approval rating among Alaskans, yet Obama lead by 7 points at the end of August?


4 posted on 09/07/2008 4:34:54 AM PDT by tsmith130
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To: Chet 99

Alaska was a battleground state and McCain was losing early August

http://www.haysresearch.com/080708.htm


5 posted on 09/07/2008 5:15:47 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: tsmith130
How could she have an 80+% approval rating among Alaskans, yet Obama lead by 7 points at the end of August?

That approval of Palin was based on her as a governor, MCCain had not yet announced his choice of as VP.

6 posted on 09/07/2008 5:45:25 AM PDT by beaware (Before we can drill in ANWR, we need to drill in DC!)
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To: beaware

No, what I meant was...if 80% approve of the way she governs and her stance on issues, why then would they choose Obama and his philosophy as preferable to McCain in a presidential poll?


7 posted on 09/07/2008 5:50:49 AM PDT by tsmith130
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To: paudio

My thought too... Such pollsters make a fool of themselves.


8 posted on 09/07/2008 6:15:18 AM PDT by tomymind
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To: Raycpa

#8 :-)


9 posted on 09/07/2008 6:16:23 AM PDT by tomymind
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To: Chet 99
LOL! Alaska is a safe Red state. Its never gone for a Democrat and thanks to native daughter Sarah, McCain will will carry it going away!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

10 posted on 09/07/2008 10:02:01 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Chet 99

Based on the media reports, I thought that everyone in Alaska thought that she was unqualified to be VP since that’s what all of the people they were interviewing were saying.


11 posted on 09/07/2008 10:07:09 AM PDT by Question_Assumptions
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