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Hurricane Ike Live Thread
NOAA/NHC ^ | 7 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/07/2008 8:37:37 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Ike is the fifth tropical cyclone of the 2008 hurricane season to threaten U.S. Gulf Coast states.

Reports from Turks & Caicos Islands describe 80 per cent of homes damaged or destroyed. On Sunday, Hurricane Ike's position just north of Hispanola was hampering relief efforts for devastation incurred by Hurricane Gustav and Tropical Storm Fay. The death toll in Haiti from Gustav reached 200 people.

Florida Governor Charlie Crist held a press conference Sunday morning shortly after a Hurricane Watch was issued for the Florida Keys.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data:

Florida & Eastern Gulf of Mexico

Western Gulf of Mexico

West Caribbean

Forecast Models

South FL Radar Loop
FL Keys Radar Loop
Cuba Radar Warning: site gets overloaded
FL Long Range Radar Image

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site--scroll down for Ike

KeyNews.com Key West News
Miami Herald
NOLA.com
KPLC-tv Lake Charles News
WEAR-tv Pensacola FL
TBO.com Tampa Bay Online
KHOU Houston
WKRG-tv Mobile-Pensacola

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Cuba; Front Page News; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; ike; tropical; weather
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Godspeed to all in Ike's path.
1 posted on 09/07/2008 8:37:38 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse

Is it yours or ours? Don’t even want to consider ‘both’.


2 posted on 09/07/2008 8:39:22 AM PDT by SouthTexas (Invert the 5-4 and you have no rights.)
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To: NautiNurse

What’s with this westward shift? That’s not what we wanted to see.


3 posted on 09/07/2008 8:44:28 AM PDT by kinghorse
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; ...
Hurricane Watch issued for Florida Keys from Ocean Reef
southward including the Dry Tortugas.

At 11AM, Ike was about 130 miles ENE of Guantanimo Bay, Cuba.
Winds 135, 949 mb. Moving W at 13 mph.

New thread.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

4 posted on 09/07/2008 8:45:05 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: NautiNurse

I noticed with Fray, Hanna and Gustav just how good the NHC is getting at predicting the path of big hurricanes. I used to joke that the one thing I know for sure is that 3 days out, where ever the NHC says it’s going is safe from the hurricane. lol, Not any more, I am very impressed with thier skill this season.


5 posted on 09/07/2008 8:46:09 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: kinghorse

Definately looks like Houston is now in play.


6 posted on 09/07/2008 8:47:10 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: NautiNurse

We’ve got friends with a second home in the Houston area...they were planning on driving back to California tomorrow, but we got an email this morning indicating they’re hanging back a couple of days to study Eisenhower’s trajectory.


7 posted on 09/07/2008 8:49:59 AM PDT by ErnBatavia (...forward this to your 10 very best friends....)
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To: NautiNurse

Starting to look like a Texas storm.

Note to Texas FReepers: just an observation, not an attempted jinx on you....


8 posted on 09/07/2008 8:50:44 AM PDT by Amelia
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To: NautiNurse

Looks like it’s pretty much followed the predicted path so far. The brunt of the hurricane will not hit Miami.


9 posted on 09/07/2008 8:52:29 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: ErnBatavia

I’m in Houston. You can bet that everyone here will be watching this one very closely.


10 posted on 09/07/2008 8:52:39 AM PDT by SaveTheChief (Chief Illiniwek (1926-2007))
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To: kinghorse

Long way to go before knowing where Ike will make ultimate landfall. Hang in there.


11 posted on 09/07/2008 8:52:44 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: ErnBatavia
we got an email this morning indicating they’re hanging back a couple of days to study Eisenhower’s trajectory.

Brilliant strategy.

12 posted on 09/07/2008 8:53:58 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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Comment #13 Removed by Moderator

To: jpsb

You are right although they did miss Fay pretty badly. They did say they knew why they were missing it tho.


14 posted on 09/07/2008 8:58:32 AM PDT by yarddog
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To: NautiNurse
"Godspeed to all in Ike's path."

Thanks.

I'm relieved to see the forecasted track by-passing my home place.

Head's up Texans.

15 posted on 09/07/2008 9:01:57 AM PDT by blam
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To: JulieRNR21; kinganamort; katherineisgreat; floriduh voter; summer; Goldwater Girl; windchime; ...

Florida Freeper


16 posted on 09/07/2008 9:02:15 AM PDT by Joe Brower (Sheep have three speeds: "graze", "stampede" and "cower".)
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To: NautiNurse

You do a great service here NN. I’m still watching and waiting here in the Lower Keys. My neighbor across the street just left for Orlando. Says he thinks it’s likely we only get CAT 1 or so winds here, but he’s already taken off work as of a few days ago, and he’s going to go visit The Mouse.
Looks better every advisory for us here, but I’ll breathe easier when it moves inland over Cuba.


17 posted on 09/07/2008 9:02:21 AM PDT by jsh3180
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To: Brilliant
Great Inagua, Bahamas taking the full fury of Ike's center.


18 posted on 09/07/2008 9:03:03 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: dfwgator

On the previous thread someone said that the track is the same as the Galveston Hurricane of 1900, the last one to run the length of Cuba.


19 posted on 09/07/2008 9:05:17 AM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (DEATH TO PUTIN!)
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To: jsh3180

If Ike continues W movement, Gitmo will not get the full force of the eyewall. Ike has made mince meat of smaller land masses thus far. The big question is what the storm will do as it nears Cuba.


20 posted on 09/07/2008 9:08:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: yarddog

I guess it depends on how strong and how well defined the steering currents are. But I was impressed, particularly with Hanna. Hanna had to be a dificult storm to figure out, but I thought they nailed the Hanna forecast. Dido Gustav, nailed that too. To early to tell that’s up with Ike, but if you are on the La coast or upper Tx coast you are not liking what you are seeing.


21 posted on 09/07/2008 9:09:22 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: NautiNurse

Yikes! Here we go again!


22 posted on 09/07/2008 9:09:37 AM PDT by LA Woman3 (Sarahcuda!)
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To: NautiNurse
Yesterday someone posted a forecast of the track of Hanna that extended to the UK, when I saw that, I wondered if the weather (linked below) is associated with one of our earlier weather systems?

Flood Fears Ease As Rains Lighten (UK)

23 posted on 09/07/2008 9:09:44 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

Don’t know of another system from the U.S. that would have caused the U.K. flooding. Didn’t see mention of what is headed their way in that article either.


24 posted on 09/07/2008 9:13:05 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: NautiNurse

Grand Bahama’s getting clobbered right now, direct hit by the eye wall, ouch.


25 posted on 09/07/2008 9:13:34 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: NautiNurse

I thought Texas yesterday and I think the same today. I think the HP ridge will slide towards the low pressure to the west/southwest.

Prayers for the poor people of Cuba. They are in for something ferocious.

26 posted on 09/07/2008 9:14:44 AM PDT by arkady_renko (You organize your sock drawer, not your community)
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To: NautiNurse

I added Cuba, Louisiana, and Texas to the topics list.


27 posted on 09/07/2008 9:21:48 AM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (DEATH TO PUTIN!)
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To: NautiNurse

I keep wondering how Guantanamo weathers these storms.
susie


28 posted on 09/07/2008 9:21:48 AM PDT by brytlea (Obama--Keep the change!)
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To: MaxMax

No thanks. Not remotely funny, and you hotlinked an unnecessarily large graphic when folks are trying to prepare to protect lives and property in the face of a deadly storm. Take it elsewhere.


29 posted on 09/07/2008 9:22:29 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: Lucius Cornelius Sulla

Thanks for adding the additional topics.


30 posted on 09/07/2008 9:23:04 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: arkady_renko

I have been a fierce supporter of the embargo against Castro, but if indeed Cuba does get the brunt of this storm, we should send aid to Cuba.

The question is, will their government allow it, or will they attach such conditions on the aid, that it will still allow them to keep whining about the embargo, to cover up for their sorry, failed system.


31 posted on 09/07/2008 9:24:48 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: NautiNurse

Thanx for the ping


32 posted on 09/07/2008 9:27:04 AM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (Seinfeld was a show about nothing - so is Obama.)
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To: NautiNurse
and you hotlinked an unnecessarily large graphic

Oop's, Sorry about that. I'll ask to have it removed.

33 posted on 09/07/2008 9:31:49 AM PDT by MaxMax (I'll welcome death when God calls me. Until then, the fight is on)
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To: dfwgator
Yesterday: Cuba rejects US storm help offer
34 posted on 09/07/2008 9:33:00 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: MaxMax

Thanks.


35 posted on 09/07/2008 9:33:37 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: NautiNurse
...and said Washington instead should sell it relief supplies and allow food sales on credit.

Cuba doesn't exactly have the best credit rating.

36 posted on 09/07/2008 9:37:59 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: NautiNurse

They may change their tune after Ike. Anyway, I can drive back across Alligator Alley to Fort Myers tomorrow.


37 posted on 09/07/2008 9:38:12 AM PDT by Humvee (Beliefs are more powerful than facts - Paulus Atreides)
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To: NautiNurse

I’ll bet you’re happy to be able to get rid of your advanced engineering of the header!


38 posted on 09/07/2008 9:42:33 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: Humvee

Governor Jindal presser on now. 30% of fuel depots are down. Priority has been on getting fuel to areas since Gustav. Jindal stressing there is a lot of uncertainty with Ike’s path.


39 posted on 09/07/2008 9:44:03 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: AFPhys

Hurricane season can’t end soon enough.


40 posted on 09/07/2008 9:45:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: NautiNurse

Wunderground’s computer models.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200809_model.html


41 posted on 09/07/2008 9:47:40 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: jpsb
Wasn't it two days ago that FL had people leaving and boarding up? Two days ago, many of the models had Ike curling up the East coast. asdf

Look at this:

Only two days ago, NHC had this dead center into the FL Everglades! (the 00Z 9/05 NHC official track)

Sorry - I don't see that they deserve the kudos you give them. They are doing good at predicting the next 1-2 days track, but that is as well as they've done with Ike.

42 posted on 09/07/2008 9:57:07 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: jpsb
"I noticed with Fray, Hanna and Gustav just how good the NHC is getting at predicting the path of big hurricanes. I used to joke that the one thing I know for sure is that 3 days out, where ever the NHC says it’s going is safe from the hurricane. lol, Not any more, I am very impressed with thier skill this season."

Well, just the day before yesterday, they had Miami taking a direct hit from Ike as a category 4; now Miami is apparently in the clear, while Cuba and then the Gulf coast are looking to be hit. For about 5 days now, every forecast update has moved the track a little to the right. It's almost as if there has been a man out there slowly swinging a rifle across a crowd who is just waiting to see at whom he will take final aim.

43 posted on 09/07/2008 9:58:56 AM PDT by Sam Cree (absolute reality)
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To: NautiNurse
Here's a neat site:

http://www.stormpulse.com/hurricane-ike-2008

44 posted on 09/07/2008 10:00:39 AM PDT by FReepaholic (Palin's hot and she has a birth certificate.)
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To: Lucius Cornelius Sulla

“On the previous thread someone said that the track is the same as the Galveston Hurricane of 1900, the last one to run the length of Cuba.”

Scary thought, LCS. How are you doing, btw?


45 posted on 09/07/2008 10:01:32 AM PDT by Sam Cree (absolute reality)
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To: NautiNurse

Oh, c’mon, NN - hurricane season gives you a solid reason to pull all-nighters!


46 posted on 09/07/2008 10:01:49 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: FReepaholic
Link to Stormpulse is at the top of the thread.

:o)

47 posted on 09/07/2008 10:02:25 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: NautiNurse

As always, thanks for starting/updating threads like these. Watching and praying here ....

Molly in California


48 posted on 09/07/2008 10:07:11 AM PDT by PERKY2004 (Pray for my husband Ron -- deployed to Iraq for the fifth time.)
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To: PERKY2004

Thanks.


49 posted on 09/07/2008 10:11:35 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: NautiNurse

I’m glad it’s not headed for N.O. any more, but now there are a ton of wells and refineries in its path.


50 posted on 09/07/2008 10:12:01 AM PDT by FlyVet
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