Posted on 09/08/2008 10:49:28 AM PDT by icwhatudo
Raleigh, N.C. – On the heels of a successful Republican convention Barack Obama’s lead in Michigan is down to just a single point. He has a 47-46 advantage over John McCain.
The selection of Sarah Palin as the Republican Vice Presidential candidate appears to be a hit with Michigan voters. 45% of respondents say they are more likely to vote for McCain because of his running mate selection, while just 30% say Joe Biden joining the Democratic ticket makes them more likely to vote for Barack Obama.
---snip----
PPP surveyed 1,147 likely voters on September 6th and 7th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-2.9%.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
DU will be on suicide watch by Wednesday.
Obama’s lead will soon become a past figment of his imagination. His day is coming. Before that, I see him dropping his VP and trying to bring in Hillary.
Wait...I thought Obama was going to be challenging McCain in Virginia and Georgia....not that McCain was going to be challenging him in MI....can’t wait till we show up as competitive in Oregon and Washington. The D’s are really gonna wet themselves then!
I am fully aware that this might well be just a rapid run up. So I’m going to enjoy it fully while I can.
But....bounce or permanent lead, we are still going to win!
This is still “bounce.” Need to see if it has sustainability, or better yet, momentum.
This is good, but I never have any hope for Michigan and PA, we always at some point tighten up in the polls, but in the end the RATS always win in both states.
I’m more hopeful this time, but still cautious.
NM, OH, CO, and FL go our way, then we won’t need MI or PA.
Right?
Any polls dated BP (Before Palin), are just total junk.
Have Palin show up in Michigan with a Red Wings jersey and you can put Michigan in the McCain column.
FYI, MI is about 14% black as a proportion of the electorate.
WI is only about 5% black. WI is definitely worth pursuing this year, more so than in years past.
10 EVs
This raises an interesting question - one which can only be answered by someone with far more intimate knowledge of the Democratic Party rules than I ever care to obtain. If Obama desires to dump Biden for reasons of election strategy (and not because of some malfeasance or gross disqualification on the part of Biden)- how does he force him off the ticket, if Biden doesn’t what to go? I see Biden’s arrogance and ego as his fatal flaw, to the degree that he may wish to stay on a losing ticket and go down with the ship than to make history and suffer the ignominy of withdrawing from the ticket because he wasn’t pulling much electoral weight. Anyone know the rules, if there are any rules applicable to this hypothetical situation?
How sweet would it be if McCain carried Michigan? The guys over at DU would be throwing acid on their keyboards.
1. Make up rules as needed to spin and win.
vaudine
Mixed emotion on this one. Obviously I want Palin/McCain to win MI, but I now hear McCain has joined Obama promising $50 billion in a rescue package for Ford, GM, and Chrysler...at taxpayer expense.
I never understand why MI votes Dem. Especially considering all the failures in MI Dem politics.
But...if McCain can win Michigan, then surely he’ll win OH, PA and IN. This whole election would be DONE if true.
Ah, with all due respect, are you serious?? This is the Party of Bob - the Torch - Toricelli. You remeber how Frank Lautenberg got on the ticket, right? Dems don’t need no stinkin’ rules.
Take a look at the PARTY ID’s in this poll:
Democrat 39%
Republican 33%
Other 28%
and the Age Groups:
18 to 29 14%
30 to 45 30%
46 to 65 39%
Older than 65 17%
VERY large “Other” base in this poll either means that MORe are ID’ing as Repubs, or FEWER DEMOCRATS are now self-ID’ong as Democrats...
Remember, this is HEAVILY UNIONIZED MICHIGAN.
And the Over 65 Demo is HEAVILY under-polled.
If I recall correctly, CNN’s 2004 Election page had michigan as 24% Over 65 in 2004, but I can’t find it now.
After calling Penn State the Nitaly Lions...you just never know. Never say never. LOL
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