[AuH2ORepublican]

In its most recent poll, Rasmussen has Obama leading McCain in Washington State by only 49%-47% (and Dino Rossi leading the RAT Gregoire by 6%). This is confirmation (and then some) of the Survey USA poll from a couple of days ago that showed McCain cutting Obama’s WA lead to only 4% (49%-45%) and Rossi taking a narrow lead. http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2077844/posts

If WA is this close, so must be California (President Bush got only 1.28% less in CA than in WA in 2004, and CA’s demographics are actually a bit tougher for Obama than WA’s demographics because Obama doesn’t do as well with Hispanic and Jewish voters as with other Democrats). I can’t wait for the next poll out of CA to come out; if it shows McCain within 3%-5% of Obama, as may well be the case, liberals’ heads will explode.

There’s a real chance that McCain/Palin may end up winning over 400 electoral vote and Obama will be remembered as this generation’s Michael Dukakis. However, we need to keep fighting for the next 53 (or whatever) days and not take and votes for granted.

[impeachedrapist]

I can’t wait for the next poll out of CA to come out; if it shows McCain within 3%-5% of Obama, as may well be the case, liberals’ heads will explode.

Next up - Illinois! :-D

[NeoCaveman]

WA is this close, so must be California (President Bush got only 1.28% less in CA than in WA in 2004, and CA’s demographics are actually a bit tougher for Obama than WA’s demographics because Obama doesn’t do as well with Hispanic and Jewish voters as with other Democrats)

The marriage issue on the ballot in California has to be good for a one or two points extra for McCain-Palin.

[impeachedrapist]

Seriously, if WA (Kerry won by 8 pts, Gore won by ~6 pts) is as close as it seems to be, then Oregon (Kerry by 4 pts, Gore by 1/2 pt) is definitely in play as well. And that will be a much cheaper advertising market then Cali.

I notice there are only three Oregon polls. One from Feb (throw out), two from early August. One (SUSA) has the Obamessiah 48-45 (pretty consistent with final results in 2004), while the other (Ras) has The One 52-42. Both were obviously pre-Palin and pre-convention.

[impeachedrapist]

Here's a current OR poll. Never heard of the polling firm. Click here

It polled 600 RVs. Has Obama up 46-39%, w/third parties pulling only 2%. That seems like a very high number of undecideds. Break out was 46% Dem, 35% GOP, 20% independent. A +11 differential for a state this close the past two Presidential elections is not very realistic. Especially with the strong GOP voter identification surge. I view this poll rather suspiciously.

[Clintonfatigued]

THANK YOU SARAH PALIN!!!!!!