Zogby: New Hampshire McCain-49.1% Obama-42.8%

ZOGBY INTERNATIONAL ^ | 9/13/2008 | Zogby

[ricks_place]

State: New Hampshire

Updated: 9/13/2008

Summary: McCain - 49.1% Obama - 42.8% Not Sure/Other - 8.1%

"Still very close here. In a state that loves John McCain, and handed Obama a bruising defeat, McCain has a higher favorability rating."

Electoral Votes: 4, Too close to call

Full crosstab data from New Hampshire is available to subscribers to the 2008 Presidential polling package.

Methodology: Zogby International conducted an online survey of 433 likely voters. The poll ran from Sept. 9-12. It carries a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percentage points.

[ricks_place]

This is why Obama is in New Hampshire.

[Gator_that_eats_Dems]

Neither NC nor Indiana are battleground states. Zogby is an idiot

[Always Right]

There is NO WAY Indiana is a tossup state. And there is no way Michigan is NOT one.

[CatOwner]

Agreed. He also has Obama leading in NC and losing in PA. I think that Zogby has been spiking his own secret sauce.

[chaos_5]

Every time I see the electoral numbers I cant help wishing we could break up California. It's only the central coastal areas that drive the whole state blue.

[RatsDawg]

Thats like in Michigan and Illinois, Detroit and Chicago turn the state blue.

[Mentos]

If you switch NH from Obama to McCain in RCP’s no tossups map you get 269-269

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=10

[Gator_that_eats_Dems]

Yeah. Pat McCrory, the GOP Governor nominee is beating Bev Perdue in the polls by at least 5%. He would be down if Obama were winning here.

[TexasNative2000]

McCain leads NH by 6.3 points and it's a toss-up.

Obama leads in Michigan by 5.7 points and it's a blue state for Obama.

Virginia has McCain up by 6.5 points and it's a toss-up.

Iowa has Obama up by 4 points and it's a blue state for Obama.

Does anyone else here see a pattern?

[goldstategop]

YES, YES, YES! That's Barry getting spanked! (laughing)

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

[libh8er]

Obama campaign

[Maelstorm]

Perfect! Love the Bumper sticker.

[xzins]

A 6+ point spread with a 4.5 point margin of error does not sound “to close to call” to me.

I’ve no doubt that I’d rather have McCain’s numbers going into election day than Obama’s.

The electoral race is so close that this is huge. I hope Rasmussen picks up on it.

[Clintonfatigued]

Zogby’s polls are unpredictable, but not competely unreliable. This is good news.

[Always Right]

Neither NC nor Indiana are battleground states. Zogby is an idiot

Bush won these states by double digits, and so will McCain.

[Interesting Times]

Thank you. I was just getting ready to do that.

[ColdWater]

Every time I see the electoral numbers I cant help wishing we could break up California. It's only the central coastal areas that drive the whole state blue.

CA was one of 3 or 4 states that was wanting to proportion their electoral votes.

[chaos_5]

CA was one of 3 or 4 states that was wanting to proportion their electoral votes. Yes, but we Republican s are only about 40% of the vote, and the RINO Governator said he would not support it.

[Redmen4ever]

The Zogby interactive polls are influenced too much by the self-selected nature of the sample; i.e., you “sign up” to be in the sample. Zogby tries to correct this problem by weighting the sample so that, statistically, it looks like the population of the state. Even with this correction, the samples imbed unknown bias if enthusiasm differs between voters favoring one over the other candidate. The improved performance of McCain in the Zogby interactive polls might only reflect increased enthusiasm by those in the population inclined to support McCain, not any shift in voters.

[BroJoeK]

"Does anyone else here see a pattern? "

You don't need to see a pattern.
These aren't the statistics you are looking for.
You can go about your business.
Move along...move along. ;-)