[Perdogg]

I suspect that McCain will take Minnesota, Pennsylvania, or Michigan, maybe and even Wiskey.

If Obama holds all of Kerry’s states and takes NM, Iowa, and Colorado, it’s over - four to eight years of Obamanation.

[Laissez-faire capitalist]

Actually, if McCain loses Colorado, NM, Iowa and takes MN, PA, and MI, that will more than make up for CO, NM and Iowa.

McCain would win.

McCain, though will take CO and NM.

[SevenMinusOne]

Obama needs OH or CO - Has to have one of them - Right now the odds are above 50% that we keep both. We win. He loses.

This election is narrowing by the day in the strategic sense. Are only real shot at a pick-up is MI & NH. We will not win MN nor PA. The demographics nor the politics of those States make it possible. Ditto that for Wiskey, voter registration doesn't allow for a GOP win or an Obama loss.

Obama real shots at a pick-up (that matter) are OH (I doubt it), CO (toss-up big time), NM (likely) and IA (which by itself means nothing).

We must keep OH and CO (both).

Obama must keep MI.