Battleground has McCain up 2%
Here is Battleground’s impressive record:
1992 ** // 1996 **
Projected - Actual // Projected - Actual
37% - Bush - 37.45% // 49%- Clinton - 49.23%
43% - Clinton - 43.01% // 40% - Dole - 40.72%
19% - Perot - 18.91% // 9% - Perot - 8.40%
1% - Other - .64% // 2% - Other - 1.65%
2000 *** // 2004
Projected - Actual // Projected - Actual
49% - Bush - 47.87% // 51.2% - Bush - 51.1%
47% - Gore - 48.38% // 47.8% - Kerry - 47.9%
3% - Nader - 2.73% // .5% - Nader - .34%
1% - Other - .58% // .5% - Other - .58%
Are these the final figures released right before the elections or from a similar time frame as the current race?
It depends on where Obama’s additional support is coming from. The game for McCain is to win Florida, Ohio, Virginia and hold to all the other major Bush states. Nothing has changed there. He seems to have fallen behind in Colorado and that could be the ball game, but the local papers say it’s still close.
The economic meltdown clobbered McCain and I think he did the right thing suspending his campaign until it is sorted out, because it started to become the law of diminishing returns out there. The suspension had better end soon. Once he puts his mind back on the campaign, things will pick up, and really you are only talking about a dozen battleground states.
Wow Battleground is great.
RAS had Bush up 10 in 2000
Gallup had Ford 49 to 48 over Carter in 1976
That is an impressive record. I would just slightly modify the 2004 numbers.
The actual results were Bush 50.73 and Kerry 48.27.