All great points. To which I would add one additional point. Even if you assume that today McCain is behind in places like NC and VA — and I wouldn’t make that assumption, which depends upon flawed state by state polling that oversamples Democrats and disregards actual exit poll data from recent elections — that doesn’t mean that he will behind in those places two weeks from now. Every competitive election involves a tightening towards the end when most base voters return home and swing voters start making up their minds. WHen this happens, McCain will pull ahead in these states, making the states that he is now campaigning in (NH, WI, IA, PA, OH, etc.) the true battleground states.
Look guys and gals. A lot of Hillary Dems and Independent when they get in the voting booth are going to have a hard time pulling the lever for Obama. He was rotten to the Hillary people plus he hijacked the Dem Party in a lot of Dems eyes. Obama is way too risky for most people.
I talked to my “Independent” neighbor. I think he is really a blue Dog Dem. He is very skeptical of Obama and he frightens him. There is no way in h*ll he or his wife are voting for Obama.