Posted on 10/11/2008 11:19:44 AM PDT by zaker99
Here is an interesting article on party weighting used by various pollsters. It helps explain the differences among the major pollsters.
http://www.creativeminorityreport.com/2008/10/whats-up-with-polls.html
This is pretty much what I and others have been saying here for months. For anyone who’s interest, here is a link to a chart that shows actual party ID on election days going back to 1972. Look at this chart and then ask yourself how these number compare with the party ID in all of these polls that are floating around.
Thanks for the link!
ba dum bump
Of interest...
kesg, read this, it’s a direct quote from the brand new Ohio Newspaper Poll that shows Mac + 2 over Obambi 48 - 46, this will blow away any attempts by the dems’, the MSM’s and most pollsters’ claims that dems will grossly outnumber Repubs at the polls on 11/4. For the record, the Ohio Poll and the Ohio Newspaper Poll (related) are two of the most accurate polls in the State. Help spread the word:
“We have asked a question in each Ohio Newspaper Poll whether a voter will “definitely vote” or not. In the first Ohio Newspaper Poll, Democrats and Republicans were tied on this question. In the second Ohio Newspaper Poll, Republicans report they are “definitely voting” slightly more frequently than do Democrats (48%-45%).”
Link to thread:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2103194/posts
Excellent article. Why do polls sample more D’s than R’s? If it was consistent with the First Amendment, I would ban polls. They’re nothing other than propaganda tools.
That right there says McCain landslide... so do NOT sit home on November 4, 2008! Let's put the final blow to this Marxist Obama and regulate him to a footnote in history!
Thanks for this very interesting link. We all remember how the polls favored Gore and Kerry in the last 2 elections, of course that was before we rigged the Diebold machines...JUST KIDDING!
Why would Scott Rasmussen fudge the numbers? He’s not a Democrat. Some of this is wishful thinking.
That is very interesting. Notice the party-by-education chart. 2006 - Less-than-HS D=51 R=28, HS Grad D=43 R=33, some college D=36 R=36, college grad D=34 R=37.
[In the first Ohio Newspaper Poll, Democrats and Republicans were tied on this question. In the second Ohio Newspaper Poll, Republicans report they are “definitely voting” slightly more frequently than do Democrats (48%-45%).”]
The ‘broken glass Republican’ vote might make a huge difference on election day. That three percent difference is likely at least a two point favorable swing (adding in independents). Add in the PUMA and Bradley effect and McQueeg might pull it off. Plus Odinga, ACORN and Rezko breaking late.
Wow this is scary.
People, ignore the polls!!!
kesg, what do you make of the new Hotline/FD poll that has Obama up 10? Based on what I can tell they are only oversampling dems by 4 points. The numbers are kind of screwy ~ 40d, 36r, 18i but they aren’t too far out of whack in terms of the diff between dems & reps.
Thanks
bmflr
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