Posted on 10/14/2008, 1:52:17 PM by St. Louis Conservative
Forty-one is the magic number for GOP Senate seats — if conservatives hope to have any voice in the Senate next Congress by being able to wield the threat of a filibuster. And that number doesn’t account for the stable of moderate Republicans who are unreliable on a whole host of issues, and are unlikely to fight a “Freedom of Choice Act,” especially with all of Washington in Democratic hands — hands that are all-too-happy to twist arms.
Senate watchers see at least seven Republican seats potentially being lost — in Colorado, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Oregon, Virginia, Arkansas, and North Carolina. Those losses would put the Republican minority at 42 seats. The number 42 assumes that Kentucky, Minnesota, and Georgia are won by Republicans — and there are no guarantees.
New Hampshire and North Carolina should not be lost. Consider that both of those GOP senators were prescient on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Consider that since his first year in Congress, John Sununu has pressed for reform on these issues. In 2007, Elizabeth Dole warned, “Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac must be run properly and with adequate transparency and oversight. We will not tolerate an intentionally weak regulator, especially when the stakes are so high for American taxpayers, the housing sector, and the economy as a whole.” Sununu and Dole are members you want in the Senate right about now.
An Obama administration with 39 or 40 Republican senators who are completely impotent will certainly herald change — and it’s unlikely to be change you can believe in.
(Excerpt) Read more at article.nationalreview.com ...
I maintain that the polls are distorted 2-6% by egregious Dem polsters who over-sample blacks and Dems.
Just posing the question in good faith here ~ not looking to be bodyslammed ~ because this is very radical legislation; but could all Democrats really be counted on to vote for this???
Of course, I realize that there will be arm twisting and all that, but could not Casey, Pryor or Landrieu be counted on to go wobbly on such insane legislation!
I know the libs and NARALers would absolutely go nuts, but at some point wouldn’t they have to draw a line??
What do you think?
Both Arkansas Senators are currently Democrats: Lincoln, Blanche L.- (D - AR)and Pryor, Mark L.- (D - AR) per http://www.senate.gov/general/contact_information/senators_cfm.cfm?State=AR.
This seat would not be a Republican turnover but potentially a lost opportunity for a pickup.
Casey has already proved himself to be the Ball-less Wonder on key abortion votes (as one might have predicted from his campaign against Santorum). He has no will of his own. But I think there are others who would find a way not to support it.
I suspect early on that all the Dems will march in lockstep, even the ones from states that go for McCain. But I have to wonder a year from now when 0bama’s ratings are lower than Bush’s, will some red state Democrats, fearful about 2010, then be emboldened to oppose their great messiah? It could happen.
While I agree, I guess I’m concerned to hear that states like North Carolina are even in play for the Dems and the fact that someone such as Al Fraken is neck and neck with Coleman. What in heaven’s name is wrong with the people in this country?
The 2 to 6% media distortion can be easily offset by fraudulently manufactured votes for Dems.
If it is as bad as it looks ~ and maybe there is a good bit of distortion? ~ we are going to have to ride these guys every day of the year like it was Immigration Fraud part 2.
Casey was quite unimpressive in his campaign against Santorum. Not only does he lack a spine, but he is an intellectual lightweight. No doubt, his father is rolling over in his grave. I sure wish that we could get Santorum back, but what are the odds?
The Catholic Church has been coming out very strong in this election in all sectors ~at leat the leaders have been. If Barry gets in and moves a FOCA bill onto the agenda I hope the bishops go that extra step and simply start excommunicating these pols.
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