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Why the Obama effect may not materialize here
Seattle Times ^ | October 13, 2008 | David Domke

Posted on 10/14/2008 2:46:31 PM PDT by nickcarraway

Around the United States, Barack Obama's presidential fortunes have improved significantly in recent weeks. Since Sept. 15, when Lehman Brothers went under and the stock market began its free fall, Obama has opened somewhere between a 5 percent and 10 percent national lead over John McCain.

Surveys of registered and likely voters - compiled faithfully and neutrally at pollster.com - suggest that the race has moved in Obama's favor in state after state: New Hampshire, Virginia, Florida, Ohio, West Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Colorado, Nevada, Oregon, and Washington. In many of these places, Democrats running for the U.S. Senate, House of Representatives, and governor's office have also seen their standing rise.

For example, a New York Times article on Sunday included this passage:

"If Obama is able to run up big numbers around the country," said Mr. Anuzis, the Michigan [Republican] party chairman, "the potential for hurting down-ballot Republicans is very big." One sign of that has emerged in Nebraska, where Representative Lee Terry, a Republican, ran a newspaper advertisement featuring words of support for him from a woman identified as an "Obama-Terry voter."

If that's happening in crimson-red Nebraska, then surely leading Democrats are riding this Obama wave here in Washington, right?

Not if we believe the same pollsters.

Let's start with the governor's race. Since Sept. 1, there have been six polls publicly reported. In three of them, Republican challenger Dino Rossi has led; in the most recent one, published on Oct. 2 by Rasmussen Reports, Rossi and Democratic incumbent Christine Gregoire were deadlocked at 48 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at blog.seattletimes.nwsource.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Washington
KEYWORDS: gregoire; rossi

1 posted on 10/14/2008 2:46:31 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

Bradley problem ...


2 posted on 10/14/2008 2:47:29 PM PDT by Tarpon (Barrack Obama will ban all the guns he has the votes for ...)
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To: nickcarraway

The Left coast is going to go down solidly in Obama’s column all the way from Seattle to Tijuana.

If there is any hope left for America it’s going to be the great Midwest and Dixie that saves us.


3 posted on 10/14/2008 2:53:17 PM PDT by Ronin
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To: nickcarraway

BS


4 posted on 10/14/2008 2:54:50 PM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote.)
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To: Tarpon

See my thread on this issue, above.


5 posted on 10/14/2008 2:57:28 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: Ronin

I live in Missouri, where Obama is regarded as a Marxist, globalist, and unAmerican, and I drove over 100 miles today, and I did not see even one “Obama” sign.

Some do think that Obama is a Muslim, but I think he is not good at any one religion. He is a child of atheists, unbelievers. He has even had atheist grandparents, so what do you expect?


6 posted on 10/14/2008 3:02:19 PM PDT by tessalu
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To: tessalu

No Obama signs in my neck of the woods either ... I find the same thing. People don’t want to say anything, until you break the ice, then they say they would never vote for someone like Obama ... They all see the same thing, the guy is ‘funny’ in the head, doesn’t talk right — In other words, he is a Communist. When I say it first, most people nod in agreement.

I bet polling is effected the same way.

Today, Obamabi was saying no one has any capital gains any more — How stupid is that statement. Illustrates total lack of understanding, doesn’t it.

I get in their faces now, isn’t that what Obama said we should do?


7 posted on 10/14/2008 3:15:24 PM PDT by Tarpon (Barrack Obama will ban all the guns he has the votes for ...)
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To: nickcarraway

The answer is simple: the residents of heavily Democratic states have actually lived under Democrat rule.

I would not be surprised if we see Republican congressmen from Massachusetts, and Democrats from Alabama.

It’s call the ‘throw out the bums’ effect.


8 posted on 10/14/2008 3:15:35 PM PDT by proxy_user
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To: tessalu

I think he’s a Muslim, but not in any real religious sense. He’s Muslim because at his deepest core he is totally anti-American and America is a Christian nation.

I think that “my Muslim faith” was Freudian. He let his true face show for a moment there.


9 posted on 10/14/2008 3:52:29 PM PDT by Ronin
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To: nickcarraway

btt


10 posted on 10/14/2008 4:26:26 PM PDT by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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To: Cacique

btt


11 posted on 10/14/2008 8:18:53 PM PDT by highpockets
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