[stylin19a]

I can't seem to find the internals on the poll, but this is probably telling re: weighting.( note 14% difference)

And when it comes to the House Of Representatives, 48 percent of likely voters say they will be choosing the Democratic candidate in November, compared to 34 percent who plan to vote for the Republican candidate.

[Norman Bates]

If that were true the Democrats would pick up like 150 seats. Yeah right...