[Brett66]

Did their weighting become more realistic? (Historical instead of a SWAG?)

[newzjunkey]

This is using their "traditional likely voter model" whatever that means. I guess they have a "new" likely voter model?

A lot of the polls reported range from the useless "Adults" to "(Registered) Voters" to "Likely Voters." The last one is the most important and has been the best indicator of where races are.