IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Day Ten: O-45.7 McC-42.0(O drops 3)

IBD ^ | Oct 22 2008

[Dog]

Contrary to other polls, some of which show Obama ahead by double digits, the IBD/TIPP Poll shows a sudden tightening of Obama's lead to 3.7 from 6.0. McCain has picked up 3 points in the West and with independents, married women and those with some college. He's also gaining momentum in the suburbs, where he's gone from dead even a week ago to a 20-point lead. Obama padded gains in urban areas and with lower-class households, but he slipped 4 points with parents. View Results From Prior Days About IBD/TIPP: An analysis of Final Certified Results for the 2004 election showed IBD's polling partner, TIPP, was the most accurate pollster of the campaign season. Learn more at www.TIPPonline.com.

[Dog]

Game on...

[housedeep]

damn right he did

we have been chewing on it for a few hours now

welcome to the party
:)

[randog]

The polls are starting their shift from the advocacy phase to the accuracy phase.

[scottinoc]

That Colin Powell bounce was short-lived.

[mwl8787]

More good news; new reliable poll showing McConnell leading by 7 in Kentucky — a much more comfortable margin.

Here is one state that BO should have negative coattails.

[chet_in_ny]

Either that or they are worried about Rat GOTV efforts.

[Dog]

Bingo!

[TexasNative2000]

I'm starting to think that, like one writer said on Monday, the Powell endorsement is a detriment.

Focuses the voter on the fact that too many people are for Obama because of his race, not his policies.

[Dog]

I’ll make a wager....The Powell endorsement was not going to be rolled out so early(next Sunday is my guess)...but they saw this coming in the internal polls they had....so they rolled him out early to try and blunt this.

[Salamander]

Dead ratfink bounce.

[TexasNative2000]

Agreed. They’re trying to run out the clock, but McCain/Palin continue to complete passes.

[6SJ7]

I'm starting to think that, like one writer said on Monday, the Powell endorsement is a detriment. Focuses the voter on the fact that too many people are for Obama because of his race, not his policies.

Bingo. It also tied Obama to the Bush administration.

[TexasNative2000]

It also tied Obama to the Bush administration.

New angle - I like it.

[techno]

I don’t really know if McCain is ahead or tied, 1-2 behind or 3-5 behind but I am confident he is not 8-15 points behind right now. he definitely within striking distance of tying or winning the game. In football terms I think he is just a field goal behind. There is just too much movement in the state polling in the last 2 days to not to conclude that this race has tightened up considerably.

[TexasNative2000]

It's the old question - "Would you rather have the lead or the ball?"

I'd rather have the ball and play offense. I think McCain finally realizes HE HAS THE BALL! Now play some damn OFFENSE!

[avacado]

I just now accidently had the TV on ABC Nightly News and they are pushing some poll of Obama 54%, McCain 43%! And commenting that the McCain campaign spent a WHOPPING $150K on Palin’s cloths and how that will cost the McCain campaign voters.

I switch over to Fox News and the “expert” panel is pushing the Fox News poll of Obama ahead by 9 points and saying that there isn't much the McCain campaign can do to turn it around.

No mention of the AP or IBD/TIPP polls, nor any discussion of how over sampled with Democrats the polls have been conducted.

But that's all okay, because all of the clueless are about to get those elite smirks wiped off their faces this November 4th when McCain/Palin tech those pollsters never to over sample Democrats again!

McCain/Palin Landslide: 53% minimum!

[1035rep]

Or McCain 3 or 4 ahead.

[fantom]

Yes that and General McNamara thinks he can walkaway from his UN WMD show . He thinks he can walkaway from his job as spokesperson for the war . He thinks he can walk away from the families who lost loved ones that he helped send off , because he no longer likes the war. The brave General could not resist a Palin cheap shot. Pathetic theatrics.

[1035rep]

These are strange times. MSNBC mentioned the one that only has Barry +3. :)

[avacado]

'These are strange times. MSNBC mentioned the one that only has Barry +3. :)"

Are they trolling for Conservative viewers? ;-)