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Battleground polls: Obama 47%, McCain 46%
Phoenix Business Journal ^

Posted on 10/23/2008 3:14:50 PM PDT by Chet 99

Thursday, October 23, 2008 - 2:40 PM MST

Battleground polls: Obama 47%, McCain 46%

Phoenix Business Journal - by Mike Sunnucks

A Thursday poll puts the presidential vote at 48 percent for Barack Obama and running mate Joe Biden versus 45 percent for Arizona Sen. John McCain and running mate Sarah Palin. Four percent are undecided in the new poll conducted by George Washington University, Tarrance Group and Lake Partners.

But the poll also shows that in toss-up states, the Obama-Biden ticket has 47 percent compared with 46 percent for McCain-Palin with 5 percent undecided. States such as Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Ohio could tilt the election.

The poll of 1,000 voters shows the race closer than other polls. The current average of recent polls by Real Clear Politics gives Obama a 7-point lead.

The GWU poll shows McCain leading among whites (51 percent to 42 percent) and Hispanics (48 percent to 44 percent). Other surveys have given Obama a lead among Hispanics, who could be key in states such as Florida and Colorado. President Bush got 40 percent of the Latino vote in 2004.

Obama holds leads in the GWU poll with younger voters (59 percent to 32 percent) as well as with voters who are black, live in big cities and are not married.

The poll shows the rural vote fairly even.

The survey also paints Palin as the most polarizing of the presidential and vice presidential candidates. She is liked by 51 percent of those questioned and disliked by 42 percent. Palin is most popular with older voters, Hispanic and white men, and least popular with city dwellers, younger voters, African-Americans and those in the Northeast.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; battleground; mccain; obama
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1 posted on 10/23/2008 3:14:50 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: Chet 99
She is liked by 51 percent of those questioned and disliked by 42 perc

51% would be a good night for McCain/Palin.

2 posted on 10/23/2008 3:17:08 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (MSM Lied, Journalism Died. RIP 2008)
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To: Chet 99

Does Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Ohio make up their ‘Battleground states’?


3 posted on 10/23/2008 3:17:23 PM PDT by tatown (Hey Barack, why don't you go find a rat to gnaw that scag off the side of your nose?)
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To: Chet 99

I just heard ABC network news on the radio say Obambi is up by 11 points. They are in for a big surprise come election eve.


4 posted on 10/23/2008 3:17:25 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Bobkk47
Obambi is headed for Hawaii to see his gravely ill Grandmother. He had one campaign stop this morning before he left for Hawaii and as Major Garrett just reported (from Hawaii)he is not expected to arrive for another 7 hours.

What is he doing ... WALKING?

5 posted on 10/23/2008 3:23:00 PM PDT by Red_Devil 232 (VietVet - USMC All Ready On The Right? All Ready On The Left? All Ready On The Firing Line!)
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To: Chet 99

Amazing how Republicans manage to put forth the least likeable, least electable, least conservative candidates in the stable year after year. Who and where are the zombies who vote for people like McCain in the primaries?

I’ve decided not to vote for McCain but to vote third party instead (Chuck Baldwin probably). I live in New York State, so it won’t matter anyway because pigs will fly before McCain even stands a chance of winning in New York.

If I were in a swing I might reconsider, but I’m not going to knock back a fifth in order to vote for another left-wing war hawk who will drag the rest of GOP down (the rest of the way) with him, when he’s not going to win here anyway.


6 posted on 10/23/2008 3:24:16 PM PDT by CautiouslyHopeful
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To: Bobkk47

“I just heard ABC network news on the radio say Obambi is up by 11 points. They are in for a big surprise come election eve.”

If Obama wins by just one point, then ABC will be doing their cocky little victory dance.

We conservatives are behind the eight ball this election cycle. It is time to kick it into high gear.

No time to waste.


7 posted on 10/23/2008 3:24:32 PM PDT by dotnetfellow
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To: CautiouslyHopeful

no you are voting for Obama.

Reagan would never have had a chance if you voted for some idiot third party nonsense in 1976.

Third party lemmings never manage to work during the primaries.


8 posted on 10/23/2008 3:28:00 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: Red_Devil 232
Obambi is headed for Hawaii to see his gravely ill Grandmother.

Don't you mean his ailing birth certificate?

9 posted on 10/23/2008 3:28:10 PM PDT by Ingtar (Go Palin! And the white-haired guy too, I suppose. '08)
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To: Chet 99

listen, damnit. I am up by 25pts everywhere. that means any of you (still) thinking of pulling the lever for McCain should not bothering going to the polls. Just stay home.

~Burak Obomba, MSM, Rev. Wright, Bill Ayers, Bernardine Dohrn, Louis FarraCON, Tony Rezko, R. Odinga, Hugo Chavez........et al.


10 posted on 10/23/2008 3:29:12 PM PDT by sappy
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To: CautiouslyHopeful

mccain still needs the popular vote. To avoid riots.


11 posted on 10/23/2008 3:29:12 PM PDT by ari-freedom (It's the socialism, stupid.)
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To: longtermmemmory

yeah, where were all these ‘principled’ conservatives during the primaries? Fred Thompson didn’t get any help from them.


12 posted on 10/23/2008 3:31:13 PM PDT by ari-freedom (It's the socialism, stupid.)
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To: Chet 99

The new meme.

now that palin has neutralized tina fey, whose ONLY claim to fame is looking like palin, the new MEME is “polarizing”.

IOW the effetes don’t like girls that look like girls.


13 posted on 10/23/2008 3:31:15 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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Comment #14 Removed by Moderator

To: Ingtar

The gravely ill grandmother for whom he has waited 3 days to visit since announcing his intention to suspend his campaign?

Have to do the interviews to woo the stupid, I suppose.


15 posted on 10/23/2008 3:32:22 PM PDT by Carling (I Am Joe the Plumber)
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To: longtermmemmory

Boy, the two-party oligarchy sure has you under its psychological thumb. Tell me, what would McCain have to do or say in order for you NOT to vote for him. Openly express his admiration for Mussolini or Chairman Mao?


16 posted on 10/23/2008 3:32:42 PM PDT by CautiouslyHopeful
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To: longtermmemmory

but they really don’t like girls who can field dress a moose!


17 posted on 10/23/2008 3:33:03 PM PDT by ari-freedom (It's the socialism, stupid.)
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To: CautiouslyHopeful

Why lie newbi? Your game here is transparent and the Marxist Obamaturd will no doubt be getting your vote.


18 posted on 10/23/2008 3:33:25 PM PDT by tatown (Who the hell would waste their vote on a third party looser?)
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To: CautiouslyHopeful

If obama wins... you helped!

LLS


19 posted on 10/23/2008 3:33:27 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (GOD, Country, Family... except when it comes to dims!)
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To: ari-freedom

I think it would be better if he didn’t have much of a “mandate” from conservatives. It would keep him humble.


20 posted on 10/23/2008 3:34:00 PM PDT by CautiouslyHopeful
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To: CautiouslyHopeful

Openly express his admiration for Mussolini or Chairman Mao?

that’s who he’s running against


21 posted on 10/23/2008 3:34:56 PM PDT by ari-freedom (It's the socialism, stupid.)
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To: ari-freedom
Don't look at me... I went into debt and gave Fred $2300.00... which is more than Fred did for me.

LLS

22 posted on 10/23/2008 3:35:00 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (GOD, Country, Family... except when it comes to dims!)
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To: LibLieSlayer

Because somehow McCain has a chance of winning New York?


23 posted on 10/23/2008 3:35:19 PM PDT by CautiouslyHopeful
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To: CautiouslyHopeful
Openly express his admiration for Mussolini or Chairman Mao?

Where did you get a damn fool idea like that, troll? You claim McCain has an admiration for Mussolini and Mao?

Why don't you prove it or STFU?

24 posted on 10/23/2008 3:37:53 PM PDT by Petronski (Please pray for the success of McCain and Palin. Every day, whenever you pray.)
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To: Chet 99

All we need to know:

http://wizbangblog.com/content/2008/10/23/cooking-polls-—state-poll-edition.php


25 posted on 10/23/2008 3:41:42 PM PDT by SaintDismas (Starting to regret the handle I chose for this forum)
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To: Norman Bates; meandog; onyx; MARTIAL MONK; GulfBreeze; Kuksool; freespirited; Salvation; ...

McCain Ping!

Good news rolling in lately!!!!

In the last day, what have we seen?

AP Poll: McCain down 1%
IBD/TIPP Poll: McCain down 1%
Battleground Poll: McCain down 1%
Gallup LVs: McCain in MOE, and closing......

Panic by PA Democrats - public plea for Obama to refocus on PA by PA Dems, Governor Rendell, and Philadelphia Democrats concerned about not paying beat-walkers for GOTV. Dem campaign leader in PA admitting even his numbers have a dead heat.

THREE new polls that, when corrected for 2000, 2004, or 2006 turnout in PA show McCain ahead or tied. Internal polls by Obama showing a dead heat, with internal polls by McCain showing Mac ahead.

New Hampshire Polls recently showing McCain ahead when corrected for 2000, 2004, or 2006 turnout ID. NH Democrat on liberal talk radio expressing open concern about internal NH numbers and McCain’s lasting popularity there.

Ohio and Florida polls showing McCain ahead even after their absurd Party ID numbers. Obama CAMPING out in Florida for three days as pollster show Floridians coming home to the GOP candidate.

Jim Geraghty at NRO’s Campaign Spot proving statistically that it is near impossible for Obama to win NC, and very very tough for him to win VA. Early voting numbers not quite as impressive as Obama wanted in several states (though not all), but nowhere near the exit polling numbers his team was hoping for with early voting so far.

Polls showing to be a fraud the claim that young voters and first-time voters will dominate the 2008 election.

ACORN out in the open, now having to look over their shoulders in many cases before trying to cast a fraudulent vote. For a change, they know everyone is watching and people are getting caught - this is a thought in the back of their minds that will make SOME difference. Times before, they never believed for a second anyone could get caught. Now they have at least some fear.

Iowa becomes a battleground - McCain and independent pollsters hinting at a dead heat there.

New Mexico turning back into a battleground - Governor Richardson admitting McCain is popular there and it will be close.

All this in the last day, or couple of days.

My FRiends, let’s GOTV - this thing looks better for John McCain and Sarah Palin EVERY DAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Good news keeps rolling in................


26 posted on 10/23/2008 3:42:45 PM PDT by TitansAFC (In 2008, please vote GOP and show us that you love your country more than you hate John McCain)
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To: CautiouslyHopeful

Hopefully on his way to see his “sick grandma” odumbo makes time to apologize for inciting his supporters to attack that poor woman with his “breathtaking” speeches


27 posted on 10/23/2008 3:42:55 PM PDT by italianquaker (Odumbo needs to apologize for inciting his supporters to get in the voters face)
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To: TitansAFC

Please dont let facts get in the way of the trolls


28 posted on 10/23/2008 3:44:24 PM PDT by italianquaker (Odumbo needs to apologize for inciting his supporters to get in the voters face)
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To: TitansAFC

Thumbs up. This has always been the only way to win this thing.


29 posted on 10/23/2008 3:51:26 PM PDT by MARTIAL MONK (I'm waiting for the POP! It's gonna be a BIG one.)
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To: Petronski

Gosh, I thought this was a conservative website not a Vote-McCain-or-Else site. A year ago, no one here could even stand the sight, sound, or thought of this King of the RINOs. But it never ceases to amaze me how pure partisanship without principle makes people’s rhetoric contort and flip-flop more than John Kerry in his previous life as a gasping fish.

You know very well my one New York vote is not going to make any difference whatsoever, but you are utterly enmeshed in this we-gotta-slay-the-foe-democratic-vote-gop-at-all-costs mentality. It is this mentality that has just about ruined the GOP in Washington.


30 posted on 10/23/2008 3:53:03 PM PDT by CautiouslyHopeful
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To: CautiouslyHopeful
Who and where are the zombies who vote for people like McCain in the primaries?

Democrats.

31 posted on 10/23/2008 3:53:28 PM PDT by Fresh Wind (10 years on Free Republic. Yikes!)
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To: CautiouslyHopeful

I’m waiting for the proof of your claim about McCain’s secret love for Mussolini and/or Mao.

Take your time.


32 posted on 10/23/2008 3:55:06 PM PDT by Petronski (Please pray for the success of McCain and Palin. Every day, whenever you pray.)
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To: CautiouslyHopeful
"Tell me, what would McCain have to do or say in order for you NOT to vote for him."

He'd have to not have his opponent be a Marxist America hating scum bag, aka Obama!

33 posted on 10/23/2008 3:56:13 PM PDT by avacado (Barack Obama, the Cloward-Piven candidate)
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To: Petronski

My post #16 clearly did not say that, so you are either being disengenuous, too lazy to actually read what I wrote, or you are just so blinded by your own notions that it doesn’t matter what I write because you will interpret it however best fits your preconceived views.


34 posted on 10/23/2008 3:59:28 PM PDT by CautiouslyHopeful
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To: CautiouslyHopeful

You mentioned “his admiration for Mussolini or Chairman Mao,” asking if a declaration of such admiration by McCain would be enough to get the other poster to reject McCain.


35 posted on 10/23/2008 4:02:35 PM PDT by Petronski (Please pray for the success of McCain and Palin. Every day, whenever you pray.)
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To: TitansAFC

By next week the DU crowd will be on suicide watch.


36 posted on 10/23/2008 4:02:50 PM PDT by rdl6989 (What isn't above Obama's pay grade?)
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To: Petronski
You know very well I was speaking hypothetically. I'm not going to play these tautological games with you. What state are you in, a swing state or a state that is sure to go to one or the other anyway? What would it take for you to not vote McCain or whatever left-wing Establishment Republican happened to be running against Obama?
37 posted on 10/23/2008 4:07:19 PM PDT by CautiouslyHopeful
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To: Chet 99

Nice!


38 posted on 10/23/2008 4:12:44 PM PDT by scratcher (I trust the media about as much as I trust al Qaeda.)
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To: CautiouslyHopeful
You know very well I was speaking hypothetically.

It was not worded hypothetically.

39 posted on 10/23/2008 4:13:08 PM PDT by Petronski (Please pray for the success of McCain and Palin. Every day, whenever you pray.)
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To: CautiouslyHopeful

It is tough to pull the lever for McCain, but I will gulp a few times and do it even though he will win comfortably here in Tennessee.

In my opinion, the media and establishment Republicans chose McCain for us. My, how quickly they turned on him.

I am voting for McCain because I am so ticked off at the media that I want THEM to lose this election and I shudder to think about the damage B. Hussein could do to our country.


40 posted on 10/23/2008 4:20:05 PM PDT by rashley (Rashley)
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To: Chet 99

It is quite evident the Obama campaign is putting out the word they are going to win by a landslide in order to suppress the McCain vote by making people think the game is over. A campaign that is truly winning usually talks about how close it is in order to keep their voters from becoming complacent. The MSM is participating in this fraud willingly.


41 posted on 10/23/2008 4:21:33 PM PDT by yazoo
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To: Petronski

did anyone notice the last sentence? Palin is viewed nost favorably by seniors and Hispanics...

seniors vote in disproportionate numbers. Hispanics are a key undecided bloc. All the groups that dislike Palin - McCain wasn’t gonna get those votes anyway.


42 posted on 10/23/2008 4:23:34 PM PDT by mwl8787
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To: Petronski

So as not to waste time I’ll project this incisive debate we’re having several lines further:

CautiouslyHopeful: Yes, it is worded hypothetically.

Petronski: No, it’s not.

CH: Yes, it is.

Pet: No, it’s not.

CH: Yes, it is.

Pet: No, it’s not.

CH: Yes, it is!

Pet: No, it’s not!

CH: I’m not going to argue semantics with you anymore.

Pet: I’ll insist till my dying day that you think that John McCain secretly admires Chairman Mao. It’s not true! McCain hasn’t been NEARLY as anti-free speech as Mao was!

CH: Okay, whatever. What would McCain have to do for you to vote against him?

Pet: ...


43 posted on 10/23/2008 4:25:05 PM PDT by CautiouslyHopeful
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To: Chet 99; All

This article is reporting on the cross tabs of the Battleground poll. Just so you know, the party ID in those cross tabs was 42 D 37 R 21 I, and McCain was -1 in the Battleground states with that party ID.

I am convinced tonight that if this race remains static, and republicans turn out to vote, we will win.

Karl Rove says Obama still hasn’t closed with undecideds, and I don’t know how he can close with them. Folks that don’t trust him don’t trust him. There is no record to point to that will get folks over that hump.

Additionally, Gallup’s Likely Voter Models are counting on a 60% voter turnout. That hasn’t happened since 1968. 2004 had “massive” turnout and only reached 55.2%. All high turnout models will skew to the democrats.


44 posted on 10/23/2008 4:27:21 PM PDT by johncocktoasten (Obama/Biden '08, in and of itself, A Bridge To Nowhere)
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To: LibLieSlayer
I am surprised that the white voters still haven't figured out that this is a race question for the black people. All the black celebrities are jumping on the wagon to get their black president. If this isn't racism then what is racism. One of the polls show that 84% supports Obama against 6% for McCain.
If blacks can make this a race game why cant the white? I am pretty sure McCain is going to win!

This is my view from Norway.

45 posted on 10/23/2008 4:33:08 PM PDT by tomjohn77
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To: tatown

You Notice McCain Never gets ahead in any of these polls ,he gets to within a point ,then the next day it is 4 ,then 8,but never ahead ,.This is all just a hoax ,he will never crack into the lead


46 posted on 10/23/2008 4:42:20 PM PDT by ballplayer
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To: CautiouslyHopeful

He needs the popular vote in case he wins.

LLS


47 posted on 10/23/2008 5:05:12 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (GOD, Country, Family... except when it comes to dims!)
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To: ari-freedom
mccain still needs the popular vote. To avoid riots.

There's no way to avoid the riots. If McCain wins, with or without the Popular Vote, his supporters will riot while screaming for revolution. If the Liberal Messiah wins, they will riot in celebration.

48 posted on 10/23/2008 5:34:09 PM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: TitansAFC

Thanks! That is AWESOME NEWS! GOTV is right!


49 posted on 10/23/2008 6:13:50 PM PDT by PhiKapMom ( BOOMER SOONER -- VOTE FOR McCAIN/PALIN2008! LetsGetThisRight.com)
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To: Red_Devil 232

Where is he going? Left this morning and not expected to arrive for another 7 hours? Maybe he is taking a blimp! :)


50 posted on 10/23/2008 6:15:14 PM PDT by PhiKapMom ( BOOMER SOONER -- VOTE FOR McCAIN/PALIN2008! LetsGetThisRight.com)
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