Posted on 10/23/2008 5:58:29 PM PDT by Chet 99
In the most recent George Washington University Battleground Poll, Sen. Barack Obama remains in a close race with Sen. John McCain (44%-42%). Joe Biden and Sarah Palin have positive favorability ratings (53%-51%). Twelve percent remain undecided. The disapproval rating for Congress is 74%. The economy is the most important issue among registered “likely” voters (37% compared to 9% for terrorism/homeland security).
Republican pollster The Tarrance Group and Democratic pollster Lake Research Partners are conducting weekly tracking polls to analyze voter attitudes. This bipartisan George Washington University Battleground 2008 Poll surveyed 1,000 registered “likely” voters nationwide Oct. 16, and Oct. 19-22, 2008, and yields a + 3.1% margin of error.
The George Washington University is the sponsor of the GW-Battleground Poll. The University’s role in the poll is guided by its Graduate School of Political Management. The University is recognized as having some of the most politically active students in the nation in the 2009 Princeton Review.
In the 2004 presidential election, the George Washington University Battleground Poll had the distinction of being the most accurate national poll predicting the presidential election outcome. First conducted in 1991, the polls have gained widespread recognition as reliable, leading indicators of national opinions and voters’ intentions. The national polling program is unique to the industry because it offers the distinct perspective of two top pollsters from different sides of the political aisle.
GW-Battleground Poll data are available at http://www.tarrance.com, http://www.lakeresearch.com, or http://www.gwu.edu/~newsctr/battleground.cfm.
The GW-Battleground Poll archives since 1991 are at GW’s Gelman Library and can be accessed at http://aladinrc.wrlc.org/handle/1961/2000
Seems to confirm a 2 point ballgame...
This confirms nothing. Polls are truly useless
Before you say that about this poll... do some research. These guys try as hard to get it right as anyone can. They are not perfect but they do not play head games with their numbers.
LLS
Why is this different that the numbers released this morning (4 points 2-way race, 3 points for 4-way race)?
Yep! 12% are afraid to say anything bad about Obama over the phone given that Obama has sent his thugs to a Lufkin, TX woman's house because she spoke bad about him to an Obama campaigner who had called her.
Sarah on Hannity scoffed at the double digit lead polls.
She said it’s close and will come down to the wire.
I think she’s got to say that, but I also think she was being honest.
bttt
6 more reasons to support John McCain:
A look at Obama’s possible cabinet:
Secretary of State: Wesley Clark
Secretary of Defense: John Murtha
Secretary of Labor: Jennifer Granholm
Secretary of Treasury: Warren Buffet
Secretary of Homeland Security: Dennis Kucinich
Attorney General: Charles Schumer
Now if that doesn’t scare you, I don’t what will.
Pelosi will be the real President. That’s even more scary.
Because they ask people without telling them who is running who they are voting for & it came out 44 to 42
Okay...got it.
Wonder why this would make a difference? Are there any theories on it?
Sarah seems really confident tonight!
Just a hunch but I think this race will break for McCain late. Not so much because of the UNDECIDED but because I do believe there is a significant percentage of folks who just don’t want to go on record as saying they are not voting for Obama.
I think Battleground and IBD are the most honest pollsters and maybe Mason Dixon and Lou Harris. Harris only polls just before elections.
Can they predict the right outcome or how people will vote? Probably as close as humanly possible but people lie when polled.
I like Battleground and IBD because neither one is near 50%. I think the undecideds are impossible to predict and even harder with Obama and possible Bradley effect.
McCain is in it and should win but we all need to vounteer and donate if you can afford it.
I agree.
I think the polls are generally flawed, and you just named one of the major problems. I know a lot of people who either say they are undecided, say they are voting third party or even say they are voting Obama who I know well enough to know they will not be doing any of those things.
It’ll be like LBJ in Texas. He always won and won big, but nobody ever admitted to voting for him.
WRONGO!!
It will be Bill Ayers behind the curtain. And if he's not there in person, it's his long shadow over O.
McCain outperforms the generic Congressional ballot question by 2 and Barack Obama underperforms by 4. If that is true Barack might have a problem.
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