Correct, and this is actually bad news for the GOP. Even in the bluest parts of this blue state, absentee ballots tend to skew 60%+ GOP/conservative (with, of course, higher percentages in inland, conservative counties).
So “basically even” is much more Democratic than in past years.
CA tends to vote about 55% Dem to 45% GOP in national contests *overall*, but not in the *absentees*.
Prop 8 is supposed to bring out the conservative vote.
Don't count on it this year. I have NEVER seen such a lack of enthusiasm for a Democrat candidate until now. Hussein may win CA but don't expect that kind of margin.