Posted on 10/29/2008 4:20:21 AM PDT by ViceroyArgus
Based on the chart you posted, this will be the first break out of the comfort zone in quite a while.
Who's he?
Oh, you must mean Chris Tingle.
Important point but I think this was McCain's plan all along, fire on all cylinders the last week. Bad, bad week for Obama, he by most polls has lost momentum. The MSM will gush over this infomercial, bank on that and look for an uptick in the polls where Barry will be back in the 6-10 point range. But.....over the weekend under the cover of the Halloween weekend and college football McCain will gain 2-5 point back and it will be a 3 point race like it is today with them showing Barry ahead in all the Battlegrounds. This is all propaganda folks and this roller coaster ride is for suckers, go out and vote. We're gonna win folks.
LOL. That's the one.
The last tie Mac was within 3 was 9/25.
“i’d hate to see any of them jump out a window.”
imagine no window guards...
IMHO
Especially, since the WS has already been rained out and people are anxious to tune in only to have to wait for Obama.
"Battleground" polls which are the least oversampled (49D/46R) have Obama up by 3%. "Pew" which are the most oversampled (53D/38R) have Obama up by 15% (!!!!).
Check this table at www.fivethirtyeight.com :
http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3159/2982704900_061cdf229d_o.png
They were there in 2000 and 2004... and they will always be with us. Many do not bother to vote because they are too lazy to perform jury duty and some want to be “off grid”.
LLS
Is there a requirement that says that a certain percentage of people from each state have to be polled in these national polls? Or can half the people in a survey be from CA, NY, NJ, MD, IL, DC and MA?
Also, if Obama is really up by so much in some of those blue states, BUT McCain is practically tied with Obama, then doesn’t that mean McCain is actually doing quite well everywhere else?
...wait, never mind. I think I just answered my own question.
Cheers!
get yer popcorn ready.
If Ras has it down to +3 for Obama, then McCain is up by 1 or 2.
I’ve been saying this all along: McCain-Palin will win.
LOL
-
Baghdad Bob had an excuse - there was a boot on his neck.
What's the MSM's excuse?
obama is starting to wear thin on people. it’s getting old. i say have a 30 minute infomercial every night until election day.
McCain can blunt the impact of the BO half hour by having ads run tonight as well during the world series — and on the other networks as well. Rich Lowry had some great ideas yesterday at NRO.
The Rat pollsters did what they were supposed to do and that is to damage McCain’s fundraising. Now they have to protect their “credibility” when it turns out 50-50.
This is truly a grassroots vs Deathstar.
Pray for W, McCuda and Our Troops
A few things to consider:
+ Some weekend samples might be falling off.
+ Almost +8%(!) skew towards Dems in this thing.
+ McCain WAS in the lead once even in the RCP average(!) right after the convention. This means that people WILL respond to McCain — he needed to bring them back home is all. I’ve maintained that since people have responded that they will vote for McCain — he had a good chance to bring them back. And it looks like he is.
My concern is the voter fraud. Ohio in particular. With homeless being able to vote and register using park benches as addresses and the corrupt Sec of State (what did Obama promise her?) you have a huge problem. Easily could be a 1-2 point swing based on fraud.
You know Obama has lots of cash to turn out the voter fraud operation. He’ll end this campaign with over 100 million dollars (I joked to a coworker that he should just sit on camera tonight burning $100 bills one at a time to show how confident he was of winning).
My last worry is that if the stock market takes a dramatic dive that this could be bad for McCain as well. Or maybe people have just become resigned to the rollercoaster anyhow. I don’t know. Of course with McCain showing momentum the market may correct itself unless we have some Soros tricks in the waiting.
This economic crisis happened too soon for Barry. If it happened two weeks ago, we could have been in bad shape.
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