Yes , Morris is right in the fact that B.O. is , in a sense , the defacto incumbent . B.O. can’t truly break 50 and the number of undecideds is quite high . Advantage McCain ...
Florida Today is saying the same thing—
http://www.floridatoday.com/article/20081029/BREAKINGNEWS/81029048/1006/news01
But party breakdowns for turnout aren’t the same as final tallies, and at least one poll offered a different view for the campaign of Republican John McCain.
A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.
Zer0 does indeed seem like an incumbent. He has been running for president non stop for 2 years. Ever since he got to the Senate 4 years ago he has been in the public eye. I think he has been on TV so long people think he is like the president already. As Truman said about Dewey, he went around for so long acting like he was president, people wanted a change!
As far as this 49-44 number, I would like specifics. But those figures are similar to the LA Times (!!) poll of FL early voters showing McCain ahead 49-45. If that is correct then I think McCain should take FL by at least as much as Bush did.