Yes. If 15% of the electorate is black, and 88% of them have voted by election day, they’ve got nothing left.
the problem is......usually they would vote on election day thus lower turnout because of the lines, etc. If the are voting in the early voting period in great mass, there is a high probability of them voting now which is a bigger cushion for Obambi.
If 88% of them have voted by Tuesday, we’ll still have to wait for the other 26% of them in Detroit, Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Cleveland, Newark, etc. to vote.
I anticipate Obama will get about 109% of the black vote.