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To: tatown

If Zog had McCain up by 1 in one day sample Friday, for Obama to have gained ground in the tracking poll would mean that Obama had an extraordinary day on Saturday. Doesn’t add up that Friday and Saturday would be so completely different. I’m calling BS


16 posted on 11/01/2008 10:09:49 PM PDT by Uncledave (Zombie Reagan '08)
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To: Uncledave
If Zog had McCain up by 1 in one day sample Friday, for Obama to have gained ground in the tracking poll would mean that Obama had an extraordinary day on Saturday.

He has Obama +10 on Saturday, 52-42. From down 1 on Friday 48-47.

Zogby has lost all credibility as a pollster.

24 posted on 11/01/2008 10:12:09 PM PDT by saquin
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To: Uncledave

he has Odumbo up in almost every people group...this is just plain absolute horse sh*t .....catholics? Hispanics? Single women? Not single women? Men? Aliens? Dead People?

What in the bloody hell is this country that I fought so hard to protect turning into?????????????????????????????


27 posted on 11/01/2008 10:13:15 PM PDT by HuzzahSnyper
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To: Uncledave
If Zog had McCain up by 1 in one day sample Friday, for Obama to have gained ground in the tracking poll would mean that Obama had an extraordinary day on Saturday. Doesn't’t add up that Friday and Saturday would be so completely different. I’m calling BS”

Especially with Halloween, how the hell does McCain run 48/47 on Friday? Fishy

28 posted on 11/01/2008 10:13:53 PM PDT by DAC21
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To: Uncledave
for Obama to have gained ground in the tracking poll would mean that Obama had an extraordinary day on Saturday

Depends on the sample size for each day, the +/- is a lot larger for a one-day sub-sample in a 4-day poll. The margin of error is probably close to 5 points for a given day's sub-sample (for each candidate). Because of that larger margin of error, the 1-point McCain and the 10-point Obama leads on consecutive days aren't necessarily that much different. And, as others have noted, issues of who is at home on Fridays and Saturdays matter too.

I'm not going to pretend to be optimistic, I'm not (I've not given up either, I just can't buy that every single poll is rigged). It ain't over, largely because it will depend on how undecideds break for McCain.

This isn't like Dole in '96 where at this point we were just hoping that the people would wake up (knowing deep down they probably wouldn't). But it's also an uphill battle. Let's hope and pray our side makes it to the top.

50 posted on 11/01/2008 10:29:41 PM PDT by Numbers Guy
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To: Uncledave
If Zog had McCain up by 1 in one day sample Friday, for Obama to have gained ground in the tracking poll would mean that Obama had an extraordinary day on Saturday. Doesn’t add up that Friday and Saturday would be so completely different. I’m calling BS

I call BS on all of Zobgy's polls. He claims that after McCain's 49-47 day yesterday (or whatever it was), Obama won today 52-42. Got that? He is saying that in the space of a single day, approximately 8.4 million people who supported McCain yesterday are no longer supporting him today. On the same day, another 6 million Americans who weren't supporting Obama yesterday are supporting him today. And an additional 2.4 million people who supported McCain or Obama yesterday are now undecided today.

Or maybe the decidedly GOP-friendly group of people who took their kids trick or treating last night while Zobgy was doing his poll don't plan to vote on Tuesday.

The other day, Zogby claimed that McCain actually led among Jewish voters. If this claim alone doesn't invalidate his methodology, nothing will. What's next? McCain pulls even with black voters in tomorrow's polling?

Who knows and who cares what a Zogby poll says. They're worthless.

58 posted on 11/01/2008 10:41:37 PM PDT by kesg
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