[Brilliant]

It’s possible I suppose that the media are deliberately misstating the level of Obama’s support so that when he loses, they can say that it proves either racism or fraud was the cause, but I doubt it. My suspicion is that the GOP is going to get shellacked.

[Retired Greyhound]

GOP won’t get shellacked.

Polls are also not factoring the number of registered Dems who are actually Republicans (Operation Chaos). My Dad is currently registered as a Dem in TX, because he switched to vote for Hillary in the primaries.

So they are using the inflated Dem numbers to re-weight. It is skewing the numbers.

[peeps36]

My suspicion is that the democrats and Obama are going to take a beating. Obama is all media hype and he's only backed by the far left. That won't win him an election. Somebody should have told Nancy Pelosi and the other liberals running the democrat party that over 50% of democrats despise liberals. It looks like they believed their own hype.

[1035rep]

“It’s possible I suppose that the media are deliberately misstating the level of Obama’s support”

New Hampshire:
Ras: Obama +7.0
Final: Clinton +2.6

California:
Ras: Obama +1.0
Final: Clinton +9.6

Texas:
Ras: Obama +1.0
Final: Clinton +3.5

2008 Zogby Polls:

NH Primary - Obama by 13 (actual result: Hillary by 3)

CA Primary - Obama by 13 (actual result: Hillary by 10)