I think so. If we win PA it's over, even if we've lost VA, because OH is definitely going red this time out. But, if we lose VA and PA, it's over. That said, beware: The networks will almost certainly call VA early for Obama, then correct themselves...it could lead to a Floriduh situation, or it could just be a speed bump on the road to victory...we'll see.
I agree with you: all day long we will likely hear “exit polls” about a slaughter in PA and VA in order to depress GOP voting. Similar to 2004 when Kerry’s landslide was all the news was talking about all day long, until the real counts began getting released.