[LS]

Why do you need a poll when you have VOTES????

It's like accepting a driver's license picture as evidence instead of the person standing in front of you.

Not hammering you, but this is how freaking poll-obsessed we've become. We now treat polls as superior evidence to actual numbers of votes.

It's like the numbers I posted earlier on African-Americans. Did you know that in only ONE poll has Obama exceeded Algore's 93% level of support? And in MOST polls he doesn't even match Kerry's 87% number? And that in SOME he is at 80%????

Still trust those polls? Which part do you trust? the result? or the part that says 20% of blacks won't vote for Obama? And if he loses 15-20% of blacks, how does he win an election, when Algore lost an election with 93% of blacks?

[andy58-in-nh]

I've spent the better part of the last three weeks telling everyone I know that the polls are all wrong. I still believe that. Chronic oversampling of Democrats is only one of several factors at work here. As for your data on African-Americans, it does not surprise me at all - Obama is distrusted by a significant number of them. Frankly, I'm more concerned about the proclivities of white urban and inner suburban liberals, who exist in far greater numbers.

My point about McCain not leading in any polls was not meant to suggest his candidacy was hopeless nor that the polls ought to be trusted; only to note that conservatives have had little to be encouraged by lately and find ourselves clinging to reeds (some thin, some sturdy) in order to maintain our confidence in the face of a massive campaign to convince us to give up.