We need to be concerned about the fact that the polls of early voters indicate a significant lead often for Obama.
They are only somewhat reliable, but still something to look at.
I am concerned O is not going to PA, as that makes it seem they are not concerned about that state. We may need PA.
At the same time, there are many encouraging signs for us as well, which just makes me so glad tomorrow is the end of this madhouse, even if we lose.
I remain cautiously optimistic. Even this early voting lead poll is not accurate. Fox just showed that of those that have already voted, Obama is ahead only by one point. Someone is really f***ing up these numbers. Last week it was Obama by 9. No one really knows what’s going on out there and it’s up to us to vote and bring everyone we know to vote also and things will turn out well.
I’ve been playing around on the those interactive electoral maps thos morning, and I don’t see any way McCain pulls this out without PA. I hope I’m wrong, but it doesn’t look good to me if McCain loses PA.
I am concerned that Acorn’s fake registers are voting absentee.
“We need to be concerned about the fact that the polls of early voters indicate a significant lead often for Obama.”
It’s a concern, but those polls are highly skewed.
Rush reported on the internals on one poll, they are so far off they are practically garbage.
OTOH, the early voting does indicate to some extent a better GOTV operation by the Democrats.
I can give you the numbers here for Travis Co Texas-
the Dems had about 60% turnout for EV, the Repubs about 55% for EV, these are base voters only and in Travis a lot more Dem than GOP based voters, and the G voters were around 35%. This was weds numbers, about 2 days before final voting. By Friday, the GOP was surely over 60% and the Dems near 70%.
Basically this means that the Dems have already turned out and voted most of their base. Election day in parts of Texas will be about indies mostly. To some extent this doesnt mean much, if these were ‘certain’ voters anyway, OTOH, the more they turnout early, the easier to
GOTV DOES MATTER. I was able to get 100% GOP turnout in my precinct in 2004. I am seeing a bit higher level of motivation than in 2004 and certainly more GOP energy (mainly FEAR) than 2006. Use that energy to do GOTV.
If we get close to 100% of the base voting for our guy *AND* win enough the indies, we win the election. That’s how the game is played.
Could the early voting numbers simply mean that they voted early! Nothing more perhaps! So they voted early, big deal??