That’s a decent “back of the envelope” way to look at it, but that method assumes that the challenges from both sides are equally frivolous. As per the above analysis, I think that is not a valid assumption. With an election as tight as this one, a small difference in the “frivolity factor” makes a significant difference.
Believe me, I hope you are right. You gotta give Franken credit for a pretty good strategy- frivolous challenges in order to build up a big lead in the recount so as to plant the idea in the public’s mind that Franken was the winner and therefore build public opinion for any court challenges or an intervention by Harry Reid. Of course, Coleman was sharp enough to catch it and respond in kind. I think Coleman is trying to stay safely ahead in the challenge department just to fend off any last minute barrage by Franken.