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Saudi May Cut Oil Supply More As Rest of OPEC Looks On
Dow Jones Newswire via Rig Zone ^ | December 4, 2008 | Yee Kai Pin; Florence Tan

Posted on 12/04/2008 7:24:09 AM PST by thackney

Saudi Arabian Oil Co.'s surprise increase in official selling prices to Asia, a key market for the state-owned energy giant, may signal that the country is preparing for further reductions in oil supply.

Fellow Middle East producers in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries have lowered OSPs in response to continued weakness in demand, and they have largely failed to adhere to the cartel's recent pledges to cut output.

So the job of shoring up oil prices may be falling squarely on the shoulders of the kingdom, the largest and most influential producer, industry analysts and participants say.

Late Wednesday, Saudi Arabian Oil Co. hiked its OSPs for next month's crude supply to Asia while lowering most prices for the U.S. and Europe.

The company, also known as Saudi Aramco, marked up its Arabian Extra Light oil even though regional producers such as the United Arab Emirates and Qatar cut their prices earlier in the week for similar grades of high-sulfur or "sour" cargoes.

The OSP for flagship Arabian Light was raised for the first time in three months, according to a company notice - despite waning, not strengthening, demand for crude.

"We are totally shocked. The adjustments are quite (unexpected)," said an official at a Southeast Asian refinery that processes mostly Middle East sour crude.

"They've only adjusted for Asia, not Europe or the U.S. Is (demand in) Asia really so much better? We didn't see improvement in product cracks."

Saudi Aramco, which doesn't publicly comment on pricing policy, is widely known to demonstrate an accurate reading of market trends - including customer demand - and the surprise price hikes are fanning speculation that it may be laying the groundwork for a corresponding adjustment in supply.

Oil producers are reluctant to further give up market share...

(Excerpt) Read more at rigzone.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: energy; oil; opec

1 posted on 12/04/2008 7:24:09 AM PST by thackney
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To: thackney

They ALL need the cash flow, and they ALL lie about their production levels.


2 posted on 12/04/2008 7:27:49 AM PST by Boiling Pots (Anthony Kennedy: The 2nd most important person in Government 2009-2013. Pray for his good health.)
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To: Boiling Pots

Let them eat oil!!


3 posted on 12/04/2008 7:30:09 AM PST by refermech
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To: Boiling Pots
they ALL lie about their production levels

But LLoyds publish the export volumes keeping them relatively honest.

4 posted on 12/04/2008 7:31:03 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: Boiling Pots
Pretty much every sector of the oil biz. has at least 2 sets of books, something of a tradition dating back to Rockefeller in western Pa. & Ohio in the 1800's.

Perhaps it's that way most everywhere, but I know firsthand it's rampant in oil.

5 posted on 12/04/2008 7:33:13 AM PST by norraad ("What light!">Blues Brothers)
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To: thackney
One of the great things about a cartel is that there are huge incentives to cheat. If the cartel successfully raises the price a bit, cartel members think: “I'll bump production a few hundred thousand barrels...no one will notice.” The problem is, all members are thinking the same thing. OPEC has had a very long run and it's been made possible by a persistently rising demand for oil. A decrease in demand is a real problem for OPEC, since virtually all their reserves come from oil markets. Meeting fixed demands for funds in those countries could become a real problem if demand continues to stagnate. I really feel sorry for OP...naw, I don't feel the least bit sorry.
6 posted on 12/04/2008 7:34:59 AM PST by econjack (Some people are as dumb as soup.)
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To: thackney

Ah, good plan. As demand drops, increase the price. Brilliant. No wonder the Arab space program and nanotech efforts are so successful. These guys are *smart*.


7 posted on 12/04/2008 7:36:02 AM PST by TonyStark
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To: refermech

OPEC basket price under $41.

It’s still high, too.


8 posted on 12/04/2008 7:36:50 AM PST by Boiling Pots (Anthony Kennedy: The 2nd most important person in Government 2009-2013. Pray for his good health.)
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To: TonyStark
As demand drops, increase the price.

Their purpose of existence is to manipulate the supply to effect the price. The way to reduce supply is to raise the price.

9 posted on 12/04/2008 7:38:11 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney
The lower the price goes the harder it's going to be to get members to go along with any plan. As the price drops they get really greedy and will sell to support the cash flow since it the ONLY thing they have to offer.

Too bad we can't just tie the cost of them buying all the stuff they need to keep their sand pits operating to the cost of a barrel of oil. They love our products and they really love buying them with dollars that we happily provide to them. They are reaching the point now where there's not enough dollars coming in to fund their extravagant way of life AND support terrorists intent upon killing us!

Sometimes life is just sooooooo good!

10 posted on 12/04/2008 7:44:17 AM PST by jwparkerjr (God Bless America!)
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To: thackney
The way to reduce supply is to raise the price.

Vice versa.

11 posted on 12/04/2008 7:45:04 AM PST by Hazwaste (Feeling bitter and clingy since 1963.)
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To: thackney

OPEC is a classic cartel, and cartel members ALWAYS cheat on their assigned quotas. The rewards for honesty apply only to the entire membership as a group, and the rewards for cheating accrue ONLY to the cheater - and are far greater than any possible penalty.


12 posted on 12/04/2008 8:36:50 AM PST by MainFrame65 (The US Senate: World's greatest PREVARICATIVE body!.)
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To: thackney

We need to form a food cartel.


13 posted on 12/04/2008 9:44:01 AM PST by NoLibZone (To All those that have sworn the Oath- Time Has Come. Or your service has been for the benefits.)
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To: thackney

That gas hit 4 and 5 was the straw that broke the US then worlds economic camels back.


14 posted on 12/04/2008 9:47:01 AM PST by NoLibZone (To All those that have sworn the Oath- Time Has Come. Or your service has been for the benefits.)
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