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NC needs early organizing.

You are absolutely right. In one county, the head office was organizing precint volunteers list in a sheet of paper. Moreover the guy was 75+ and how on the Earth are we supposed to fight against the Text message generation?

This is still a conservative state. It is very simple. Reduce the margin among blacks. The usual turnout of blacks is 17 to 18%. At this range, it is easy for republicans to win the state. If I am right, it went to 20 to 22% during the presidential election and that really made it impossible to compensate with whites. More over the college crowd will not be so organized for senate election and that is a huge relief.

There are so many closet republicans in the universities. If we can even have a small open small n universities, we can reduce the margin among college kids. Recipe for success in North carolina is as follows

Sarah palin + Bobby jindal + Presence of Volunteers in each precinct of the state+ Reducing the margin among blacks and university students+ Start registering more republicans= Victory

Ditto what you said on how to organize and motivate, but dont underestimate how hard the dems will work - yes blacks will come out less than this year but i wil l bet it will be in greater numbers than other midterms. also cooper’s good reputation will be hard to overcome.

You're right on about NC strategy. I think that in spite of his landslide, the 2008 Obama obsession in an apparition rather than a trend. There were even Republicans who were awed at the opportunity to vote for a person of color--they jumped on the bandwagon wanting to be part of the history of it. Blacks made Herculean efforts unlike anything they've done before--and might not be so energized to do again...and certainly not for a white candidate even if he is a Democrat. Furthermore, there is a real element of white guilt that got expressed this time, but with an economy that isn't percolating, that level of guilt might not be as evident.

2010 is really a long time away. After all, who would have predicted that a market meltdown would have been this election's October surprise?