Who knows? But I see a different outcome in my crystal ball.
We are pretty close to the bottom economically. We are due for the cyclical upswing.
The markets dwarf the government, so they will react independently. But the media will credit whatever dopey actions Obama has taken, in the same way they credited the Bush Administration for the downturn.
Any uptick will be credited to Obama and the Democratic congress, and the congressional election will reflect that misplaced credit. Conversely, should the economy continue to spiral downward, it will all still be Bush's fault, and the media will work to get more democrats elected to help clean up "Bush's mess."
All good news belongs to the Democrats, all bad news belongs to the Republicans. Either way, the Democrats strengthen their congressional majorities.
Well.....I MIGHT agree with you, however, the GOVERNMENT is trying to take over different markets....that could change the dynamics....a lot!