Posted on 03/18/2009 2:57:26 PM PDT by An Old Man
The US Treasury and Congressional "shopaholics" are tickled pink with the "flight to safety."
Never mind whether those rampantly popular Treasury bonds are actually preventing recovery by crowding out private sector credit. They're giving the US government's representatives the power to "buy, buy, buy" ...and conveniently solidifying their voters' support in the process.
But not everyone's enjoying the "flight to safety." And Switzerland's response in particular points to a dangerous new trend that's sweeping the globe.
Competitive Devaluation Hits the Majors "The Swiss franc slumped by a record amount against the euro Thursday after the country's central bank confirmed it was intervening to stem the currency's sharp appreciation due to its status as a safe haven," says the Boston Globe's website.
The Swiss National Bank has intervened. They're expanding repo operations and buying up foreign currency in the exchange markets. Why?
To keep exporters from suffering, and to maintain the trade relationships (by maintaining the exchange rate) they've developed with Eurozone countries over the last few years. And by no stretch is Switzerland the first country to intervene on behalf of its exporters.
Dozens of resource-rich countries - like Russia, Brazil and South Africa - have already seen their currencies plummet thanks to the global credit crunch and the "flight to safety." But other countries are stepping in and forcing their currencies down as well. Governments in Armenia, Kazakhstan and South Korea have forced devaluations in the last few months as well.
Devaluation - at the hands of the market or the government - has been a steadily growing trend for the last year or so. And Switzerland's forced devaluation is a significant turning point; the first of the "Majors" (the world's seven most popular currencies) to engage in competitive devaluation.
But why Beggar a Broke Neighbor?
'Beggar-thy-neighbor' is the phrase often used to describe competitive maneuvering like you see here.
Say for example that you've lost your job. You need new income, but the job market's a pretty scary place. So instead, you walk around the neighborhood offering to cut grass for US$20 per lawn. The problem? Your neighbor runs a landscaping service. And he makes US$50 per lawn (a reasonable and competitive price).
Instead of sticking with your landscaping neighbor, everyone has you cut their lawn. You get a stream of income...but your neighbor loses his job. What about his employees? His family? "They don't matter," says the beggar, "I had to look out for number one."
Perhaps the landscaper calls a spade a spade, and heads out with his lawnmower and an asking price of US$15. In any case, there's no real net positive (either beggar or neighbor will end up unemployed) and we've effectively lowered the per-lawn landscaping price from US$50 to US$20.
And you get deflation...the reason we were here in the first place. Now think of this example on a global scale - with countries instead of individual neighbors. You can see how this sort of thing leads to problems.
Deflation, as strange as it sounds, is almost a good thing in this situation. Since competitive devaluations eat away at purchasing power just as sure as inflation would...leaving a country's citizens with a weaker currency in their pockets, and lower prices at the market (thanks to deflation). And somehow everyone becomes poorer without knowing quite how.
Who Benefits from Competitive Devaluation and "Beggar Thy Neighbor"?
Who Benefits from Competitive Devaluation and "Beggar Thy Neighbor"?
I don’t know about beggaring, but certainly we’re all being buggered.
When governments use their powers to tax, coerce, or subsidize to favour domestic producers over foreign competitors; they are attempting to “better thy neighbour”. All sides lose, because there are real, dead-weight economic losses. Things look good at first — then, consumers, taxpayers and otherwise healthy, productive, and competitive businesses are hurt.
Oops. “better” = “beggar”
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.