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That is one of the problems of the Internet. You don't know me.

I am known as a very positive person with a constant smile on my face.

My track record around here (for predictions and analysis) speaks for itself.

I just spent the first half of 2008 trying to convince an Army of Freepers that Hillary would not win the Democratic nomination. I think most didn't believe me until the Convention vote was taken. :-)

I am just trying to get folks to pay attention. I prefer to believe that I am looking at apathy and not denial, because I can only anger someone who is in denial.

“I am known as a very positive person with a constant smile on my face.”

I think you are being reasonably cautious here. You are right to take the threat seriously. You aren’t panicking and you are rightly skeptical of the media and the Mexican government.

There are also at least a few cases where young healthy people have ended up in ICU, so it clearly has the potential to become very dangerous. I think that most people just don’t understand the flu virus and how it becomes so dangerous. Of course that doesn’t stop them from making judgements such as “this thing is over’. This may end up to be a minor virus, but there is not any way to tell yet. Anyone with a solid understanding of flu viruses and how they mutate, is concerned about the potential this virus has.

I read today that a couple from Spain contracted the virus by being on the plane with a couple returning from Mexico. Clearly this is easily transmitted from human to human. There are also an increasing level of diagnosed cases. I will be carefully watching the progression of this virus, but I haven’t seen anything to indicate that I shouldn’t continue my normal activities so far.