Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Interesting development. If confirmed, it indicates the wheels are falling off the mullahs' control.
1 posted on 06/18/2009 5:17:13 PM PDT by PapaBear3625
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies ]


To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; NormsRevenge; Marine_Uncle; SolidWood; Straight Vermonter; G8 Diplomat

ping


2 posted on 06/18/2009 5:20:34 PM PDT by PapaBear3625 (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money -- Thatcher)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: PapaBear3625

I bet those guys who are at an undisclosed location would love to be at GITMO right now!


3 posted on 06/18/2009 5:20:58 PM PDT by joesjane (The strength of the pack is the wolf - Rudyard Kipling)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: PapaBear3625

4 posted on 06/18/2009 5:21:40 PM PDT by Iron Munro (Obama as President is like hiring a mechanic who never saw a car before.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: PapaBear3625

Tin Soldiers and Nutjob coming
their finally on their own


5 posted on 06/18/2009 5:22:07 PM PDT by HerrBlucher
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: PapaBear3625

This is a day or two old.


6 posted on 06/18/2009 5:22:34 PM PDT by counterpunch (In this present crisis, government is not the solution to our problem. Government is the problem.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: PapaBear3625
From EurasiaNet.org:
IRAN: HARDLINERS LOSING NERVE, PREPARING FOR DESPERATE GAMBIT - SOURCE

Hardliners in Iran are preparing to make a desperate bid to preserve their power in the face of burgeoning public opposition. A source within Iran’s law enforcement agency revealed late on June 18 that backers of presumptive president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will try to deploy special Revolutionary Guard units to confront protesters in Tehran.

In addition, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is due to be the Friday prayer leader on June 19. In recent days, Ayatollah Khamenei, a strong supporter of Ahmadinejad’s rigged re-election, has sounded conciliatory notes in trying to quell daily mass protests. [For background see the Eurasia Insight archive]. However, having seen offers of partial compromises, such as a limited vote recount, fail to sway public opinion, and with the clerical establishment increasingly arrayed against him, the Supreme Leader is reportedly ready to issue an ultimatum to protesters in Tehran and elsewhere in the country: cease and desist, or face the consequences.

Rumors swept Tehran on June 18 that some Revolutionary Guard commanders had been arrested. Such information was impossible to independently verify. However, if true, the arrests could indicate that protest sympathizers within the Revolutionary Guards had been removed, thus clearing the way for the entry of the elite force into the political struggle.

If protesters continue to take to the streets in defiance of Ayatollah Khamenei’s expected ultimatum, elite Revolutionary Guard units will presumably be authorized to use deadly force to disperse the crowds.

A willingness to use massive force carries significant risks for hardliners, given the fact that a portion of the country’s religious and military apparatus has expressed support for the protesters. A decision to settle the election with force could thus have unpredictable consequences for Iran. There is no guarantee that elements arrayed against the hardliners will not fire back, if fired upon. Likewise, if the force used by hardliners proves insufficient to break the will of their opponents, then the Islamic Republic could be swept away with startling speed, and Iran plunged into an extended period of uncertainty as a new order takes shape.

If Revolutionary Guards do not appear on the streets of Tehran soon, or if Ayatollah Khamenei backs away from direct confrontation in his Friday prayer comments, the countdown would appear to be on for Ahmadinejad’s departure from power.


7 posted on 06/18/2009 5:28:31 PM PDT by PapaBear3625 (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money -- Thatcher)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: PapaBear3625

The majority of the IRGC will be restricted to their barracks because they are “unreliables”, draftees. Only a few battalions are trustworthy enough to use as enforcers around the country, so are always being flown around to put down minor rebellions in the ethnic enclaves.

This means that the big wild card is the Iranian army, which could easily overthrow the mullahs, if they didn’t turn their guns on each other. The lesser cards include the Hezbollah Arabs brought in to the country as strong arm thugs, and there are even rumors of foreign soldiers, such as Venezuelans and Cubans, being brought in as a praetorian guard to protect the big bosses.

Likewise, the Russians probably have a whole bunch of advisers, of several kinds, military, nuclear, political, who will try and influence events behind the scenes.


9 posted on 06/18/2009 5:32:18 PM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: PapaBear3625

Patrick Henry comes to mind ~~liberty or death


12 posted on 06/18/2009 5:45:15 PM PDT by yldstrk (My heros have always been cowboys--Reagan and Bush)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: PapaBear3625
Just land some helicopter's in the desert and....NEVERMIND,(so 1979).

Just park some C-130s in the open sky and land a few thousand troops w/arms and a plan and end this sheit NOW!

17 posted on 06/18/2009 7:25:51 PM PDT by jaz.357 ("If the present tries to sit in judgment on the past, it will lose the future." W.Churchill)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: PapaBear3625

BTTT


19 posted on 06/19/2009 3:37:53 AM PDT by PGalt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson