Any incumbent polling under 50% is in deep doo.
Specter’s only hope IF he wins the D nomination is that the GOP does put in Toomey and they can cast him as a ‘right wing nutjob’ whereas Arlen is more in step with PA. So you are right ... it’s imperative that Toomey get going on the D’s for Toomey right away.
It is just a good strategy. I saw it work wonderfully in West Virgina with the election of a conservative Republican Governor and Democrats use it all the time to pretend to be Centrists. Toomey can survive such charges. He is a smart man who knows the facts and numbers and can go head to head with Specter. I don’t believe Arlan is more in step with PA on issues but Democrats do have an edge but is is slowly being worn away.