Barring a shooting war with N. Korea or Iran, it’ll come down to the economy. If we’re in recovery, he’ll get the credit and most likely be re-elected. If we’re still in a recession, he can kiss his job goodbye.
Getting rid of a sitting President in good economic times is very tough.
Good economic times seem far-fetched with a Democrat congress and a socialist Kenyan running things, but I suppose the Republicans could retake the Congress, get things back on track, and watch as the Kenyan takes the credit.