Congressional Quarterly rates IA as “Democrat favored” in ‘10 though. I wonder if they are wrong. We’d better hope so since they show Dems doing reasonably well overall in 2010. Of course at this point in 2005 they had Republicans easily keeping control of both houses of Congress in ‘06.
I think they’re wrong, and that Culver’s going to get smoked by either Vander Platts, Rants, or Branstad. At this point I have no prediction for who wins the primary.