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Virginia Gov 2009: SUSA Poll GOP McDonnell leads by 14 points among likely voters! All 3 GOP 53%+
SUSA ^ | 9/29/09

Posted on 09/29/2009 4:19:26 PM PDT by HokieMom

In VA, Republicans Still Above 50% in All 3 Statewide November Contests: Virginia Republicans continue to dominate the statewide contests for Governor, Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General in elections today, 09/29/09, five weeks until votes are counted, according to SurveyUSA polling for WDBJ-TV Roanoke and WJLA-TV Washington DC.

In the race for Governor, Republican Bob McDonnell today defeats Democrat Creigh Deeds by 14 points, 55% to 41%. Compared to identical SurveyUSA polls released four and nine weeks ago, little has changed. McDonnell receives majorities from both men and women, young and old, rich and poor, college graduates and those who did not attend college. Deeds leads by 3:1 among African Americans, by 7:1 among Democrats and liberals, and by 14 points among moderates. McDonnell and Deeds tie in Northeastern Virginia; McDonnell leads in the rest of the state.

For Lieutenant Governor, Incumbent Republican Bill Bolling is today elected to a second term, defeating Democrat Jody Wagner, former Treasurer of VA and VA Secretary of Finance, 54% to 41%. Bolling led nine weeks ago by 12, led four weeks ago by 10, leads today by 13. The Republican has momentum in Central VA. The Democrat is making inroads, though still trailing, in Southeast VA.

In the Attorney General contest, Republican state senator Ken Cuccinelli today defeats Democrat state representative Steve Shannon 53% to 42%. The Republican has never polled less than 53%. The Democrat has never polled more than 42%.

Filtering: 1,000 Virginia adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 09/26/09 through 09/29/09. Of them, 886 were registered to vote. Of them, 631 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. Incumbent Democratic Governor Tim Kaine is term limited; his seat is open. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Bill Mims was appointed to the seat by the Virginia General Assembly in February 2009, when Bob McDonnell resigned to campaign full-time for Governor, and is not seeking election to the office.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2009polls; bolling; cuccinelli; deeds; governor; mcdonnell; shannon; va2009; wagner
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http://www.bobmcdonnell.com/ for Governor

http://www.billbolling.com/ for Lieutenant Governor

http://www.cuccinelli.com/ for Attorney General

1 posted on 09/29/2009 4:19:26 PM PDT by HokieMom
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http://www.bobmcdonnell.com/ for Governor

http://www.billbolling.com/ for Lieutenant Governor

http://www.cuccinelli.com/ for Attorney General


2 posted on 09/29/2009 4:19:57 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

Wait, I just read a thread that says it is 48 to 43 for McDonnell


3 posted on 09/29/2009 4:21:57 PM PDT by DaiHuy (One Big Assed Mistake America)
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To: Corin Stormhands

In the race for Governor, Republican Bob McDonnell today defeats Democrat Creigh Deeds by 14 points, 55% to 41%. Compared to identical SurveyUSA polls released four and nine weeks ago, little has changed. McDonnell receives majorities from both men and women, young and old, rich and poor, college graduates and those who did not attend college. Deeds leads by 3:1 among African Americans, by 7:1 among Democrats and liberals, and by 14 points among moderates. McDonnell and Deeds tie in Northeastern Virginia; McDonnell leads in the rest of the state.


4 posted on 09/29/2009 4:22:29 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

Public Policy Polling has McDonnell leading 48-43.

Last week, Insider Advantage had McDonnell leading 48-44.

Could Survey USA be an outlier?

Good news though, all polls have the Bolling and Cuccinelli leading their respective races as well.


5 posted on 09/29/2009 4:23:07 PM PDT by yongin
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To: DaiHuy

This SUSA poll is likely voters, the other one may merely be all adults.


6 posted on 09/29/2009 4:23:28 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: yongin

We need to be making sure all the absentee voters we know are getting their ballots in.


7 posted on 09/29/2009 4:24:40 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

I just read that a new Quinnipiac poll will be coming out tmw in the Jersey governors race. That one’s been tight lately.


8 posted on 09/29/2009 4:29:19 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Bobkk47

I hope the Republican is using all those corrupt Democrats in his ads.


9 posted on 09/29/2009 4:31:23 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: yongin

Watch this new McDonnell ad on YouTube

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Nx2wiX6yls


10 posted on 09/29/2009 4:37:26 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom; EDINVA; iceskater; xyz123; Corin Stormhands; jla; Flora McDonald; GeorgeW23225; ...

Virginia pingage.


11 posted on 09/29/2009 4:37:55 PM PDT by Corin Stormhands ("Failed Obama Administration" (TM))
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To: Corin Stormhands

See the YouTube link in #10. McDonnell even gets the golden retriever vote!


12 posted on 09/29/2009 4:41:03 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

I was just reading today the National Review article on this race. I gather the dems are going to go hard on this Regents University angle. I don’t think that works this year. Also, the republican in this race has the endorsement of the co-founder of BET Television.


13 posted on 09/29/2009 4:41:21 PM PDT by fkabuckeyesrule (It's almost hockey season folks!)
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To: fkabuckeyesrule

Do you have a link to that story? I scanned the site yet didn’t see it. I did see an ad for the dem, though.


14 posted on 09/29/2009 4:48:36 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

Thank you so much for this information! Please . . . keep me advised.

I am “chomping at the bit” to vote in November!!


15 posted on 09/29/2009 4:56:47 PM PDT by Right_in_Virginia
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To: Right_in_Virginia

Are you on Facebook? They update daily if you’d like to join thier ‘fan pages’


16 posted on 09/29/2009 4:58:02 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

Good- those stupid Deeds commercials painting McDonnell as a woman-hating caveman must not be persauding reasonable folks


17 posted on 09/29/2009 4:58:46 PM PDT by silverleaf (If we are astroturf, why are the democrats trying to mow us?)
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To: silverleaf

The McDonnell in response to the ‘anti-woman’ campaign of the dems

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zjDWe0_V2Q4&feature=channel


18 posted on 09/29/2009 5:00:28 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

Facebook is above my paygrade (and IT expertise). ;^D


19 posted on 09/29/2009 5:04:13 PM PDT by Right_in_Virginia
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To: yongin

Survey USA’s and Mason Dixon’s State polling is the best in the business, they were both right on the money in VA, NC, FL, and OH in 2008. Go Bob Go!!!


20 posted on 09/29/2009 5:05:11 PM PDT by moose2004 (Stand up, speak out and stop Obamacare and GE)
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To: Right_in_Virginia

Aww, it’s not THAT tough!


21 posted on 09/29/2009 5:05:25 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: Right_in_Virginia

At least YOU can proofread.


22 posted on 09/29/2009 5:07:55 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: Corin Stormhands

Corin Stormhands, please add me to your Virginia ping list. Thank you very much.


23 posted on 09/29/2009 5:07:58 PM PDT by moose2004 (Stand up, speak out and stop Obamacare and GE)
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To: moose2004

Let’s hope they record holds true, then.


24 posted on 09/29/2009 5:08:45 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

GOP turnout for be monstrous. VENGENCE IS MINE!


25 posted on 09/29/2009 5:19:30 PM PDT by MrDem (And this is a loyal lifelong Democrat saying this...)
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To: MrDem

Thats “WILL BE MONSTEROUS!”


26 posted on 09/29/2009 5:20:23 PM PDT by MrDem (And this is a loyal lifelong Democrat saying this...)
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To: MrDem

MrDem? Not Mr-used-to-be-Dem?


27 posted on 09/29/2009 5:21:19 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: DaiHuy

The PPP is the democrat party polling company !!! Its called a propaganda poll thats why their is a ( D) next to the POLL numbers.


28 posted on 09/29/2009 5:27:29 PM PDT by ncalburt (San Fran Nan , Your Harvey Milk was gunned down by a fellow Dem-RAT)
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To: moose2004

done


29 posted on 09/29/2009 5:27:53 PM PDT by Corin Stormhands ("Failed Obama Administration" (TM))
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To: yongin

Again for all those who actually believe a PPP poll . The PPP is an real life actual Democrat Party POlling company. So its crap !


30 posted on 09/29/2009 5:29:32 PM PDT by ncalburt (San Fran Nan , Your Harvey Milk was gunned down by a fellow Dem-RAT)
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To: silverleaf

Worst. Ads. Ever.


31 posted on 09/29/2009 5:30:41 PM PDT by EDINVA (A government that robs Peter to pay Paul can always depend on the support of Paul -- G. B. Shaw)
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To: HokieMom
****Do you have a link to that story? I scanned the site yet didn’t see it. I did see an ad for the dem, though.****

It may not be on the NR website anymore since a new issue of NR has come out. This was from the September 21, 2009 issue which is probably only available to subscribers.

32 posted on 09/29/2009 5:58:49 PM PDT by fkabuckeyesrule (It's almost hockey season folks!)
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To: HokieMom

I agree.


33 posted on 09/29/2009 6:01:01 PM PDT by moose2004 (Stand up, speak out and stop Obamacare and GE)
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To: Corin Stormhands

Thank you.


34 posted on 09/29/2009 6:03:06 PM PDT by moose2004 (Stand up, speak out and stop Obamacare and GE)
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To: Corin Stormhands

Be still my heart! The Dream Team at work!


35 posted on 09/29/2009 6:05:24 PM PDT by Flora McDonald (Stand the storm!)
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To: HokieMom

Who runs the legislature?


36 posted on 09/29/2009 6:07:23 PM PDT by 1010RD (First Do No Harm)
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To: ncalburt

So All Deeds Needs to Do Is Outpace Obama’s Get-Out-the-Vote Effort

Good news, sort of, for Creigh Deeds. As long as the voter turnout on Election Day is 37 percent Democrat, 29 percent Republican and 34 percent independent, as in PublicPolicyPolling’s latest, he’ll only lose by 5 percentage points.

PPP shows McDonnell leading among Independents by a mere 16 percentage point margin.

For comparison, on Election Day 2008, the presidential year with enthusiasm for Obama driving Democratic turnout, the party ID split was 39 percent Democrat, 33 percent Republican, and 27 percent Independent in CNN’s exit poll.


37 posted on 09/29/2009 6:10:59 PM PDT by skaterboy (Hate=Love....Love=Hate)
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To: 1010RD

I think the Republicans are the majority in the 100 member House of Delegates and the Democrats have a small majority in the 40 member Senate.


38 posted on 09/29/2009 6:18:37 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

My experience is that controlling the legislature is what really matters.


39 posted on 09/29/2009 6:38:34 PM PDT by 1010RD (First Do No Harm)
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To: 1010RD

The House of Delegates is up for election this year. It’s looking like coattails for the GOP are a strong possibility if this poll holds true.


40 posted on 09/29/2009 6:40:30 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

What would be 2-3 critical changes in law that would make VA better over the long haul, despite who holds power?


41 posted on 09/29/2009 6:42:18 PM PDT by 1010RD (First Do No Harm)
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To: HokieMom

A former Dem. governor of Virginia refused to endorse Mr. Deeds.


42 posted on 09/29/2009 6:44:12 PM PDT by apocalypto
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To: 1010RD

Look at all the endorsements McDonnell’s received and you’ll get the sense that he’s a mainstream business-friendly, no-nonsense law enforcement style Republican.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Nx2wiX6yls


43 posted on 09/29/2009 6:49:27 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: Flora McDonald; HokieMom

The Wilder effect?

McDonnell’s African-American vote: 24%
Bolling’s African-American vote: 20%
Cuccinelli’s African-American vote: 18%


44 posted on 09/29/2009 6:50:31 PM PDT by Corin Stormhands ("Failed Obama Administration" (TM))
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To: HokieMom; 1010RD

That’s correct.

All 100 members of the HOD are up this year (Senate in 2011). We will most defintely hold the majority and could possibly increase the margin.


45 posted on 09/29/2009 6:51:35 PM PDT by Corin Stormhands ("Failed Obama Administration" (TM))
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To: apocalypto
A former Dem. governor of Virginia refused to endorse Mr. Deeds.

That announcement may be more about former governor Wilder and less about the Deeds/McDonnell race. Wilder doesn't like either one of the candidates' Second Amendment stances plus he likes to be in the limelight.

46 posted on 09/29/2009 6:52:00 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: Corin Stormhands

Sorry, I’ll need your explanation of those numbers. Do the percentages reflect minimal impact, in your view?


47 posted on 09/29/2009 6:54:27 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

Honestly, I don’t know how much of an impact Wilder really had. But those are very good numbers for Republicans.


48 posted on 09/29/2009 7:06:28 PM PDT by Corin Stormhands ("Failed Obama Administration" (TM))
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To: HokieMom

Things are not what they appear to be :)


49 posted on 09/29/2009 7:12:37 PM PDT by MrDem (And this is a loyal lifelong Democrat saying this...)
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To: skaterboy

Good post.


50 posted on 09/29/2009 7:15:57 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (Ask not what you can do for your country, ask what you can do for Obama.)
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