I’m surprised Chavez hasn’t created an armed insurgency inside Honduras based out of Nicaragua. This possibility has worried me ever since Zelaya created the constitutional crisis. It may be that—as you say—it is too difficult for the marxists to find native Hondurans of like mind. And such a scheme might easily be traced back to Chavez.
I believe our millitary is disciplined and well trained. During the Cold War 80’s they were really hard against communists, hundreds of “desaparecidos” were kidnapped, tortured, killed and burried in secret cemeteries. No dead body = no crime. After 10 or 15 years the bodies were found, but by then the Cold War was over. We have an old saying here that “without dogs there’s no rabies”.
Considering that, what do you think would happen to an armed insurgence of communist-chavista rebels? That would give the millitary the excuse they’ve been waiting for, self defense.
If Chavez was to directly attack Honduras he would beat us in a heartbeat, Venezuela has an infinitely bigger and better armed army, but that war would be impossible to justify for him.